Bitcoin Sees Strongest Gains on US Holidays, CoinGecko Reports

Bitcoin (BTC) delivers its strongest single-day returns on US federal holidays, according to a CoinGecko study covering May 2013 to May 2026. The research found that US holidays produced an average next-day return of +0.77%, significantly higher than the +0.19% baseline for non-holidays. New Year’s Day led with an average next-day return of +2.01% and an 84.6% win rate, according to BeInCrypto. Columbus Day matched this win rate with a +1.70% return. However, Martin Luther King Jr. Day and Independence Day showed negative averages, with win rates below 50%. CoinGecko attributes the New Year’s Day effect to fresh capital allocations and tax-loss selling reversals.