Polymarket Predicts 86% Chance of No Major Events in June

According to Odaily, Polymarket has introduced a new prediction market titled "Nothing Happens in June," where the probability of significant events occurring is currently at 14%, while the likelihood of no major events is at 86%. Traders believe there is an 86% chance of "no major developments" in June, as the initial weeks do not suggest any significant diplomatic or policy breakthroughs. The market will settle as "Something" if any of the following conditions are met between its creation and 11:59 PM Eastern Time on June 30, 2026: - WTI crude oil price exceeds $150; - The U.S. confirms the existence of aliens; - The Federal Reserve makes any policy adjustments in June; - A ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine; - Iran agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile. Otherwise, the market will settle as "Nothing."