Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said he does not see Polymarket as his main competitor, arguing bigger trading and betting players pose a larger threat to his prediction market exchange. According to BeInCrypto, Mansour told Front Office Sports he is watching CME Group, Robinhood and sportsbook operators most closely, reframing a rivalry often cast as a two-horse race between Kalshi and Polymarket.
Bank of America analysts estimate Kalshi has about 91% of the regulated US prediction market, with Polymarket second and Underdog third. Over the past 30 days, Kalshi traded about $9.8 billion versus Polymarket’s $9.9 billion, according to DeFi Rate.