A report released yesterday by research and brokerage firm K33 stated that selling pressure from long-term Bitcoin holders is nearing saturation after years of distribution, and on-chain selling pressure is expected to gradually ease. Vetle Lunde, Head of Research at K33, pointed out that since 2024, the supply of Bitcoin held for more than two years has been declining, with approximately 1.6 million BTC being reactivated and flowing into the market, worth about $138 billion at current prices, reflecting continued on-chain sales by early holders. Lunde believes this scale clearly exceeds what can be explained by technological migration or structural adjustments, indicating substantial distribution activity. The report states that 2024 and 2025 are the second and third highest years in Bitcoin history in terms of long-term supply recirculation, second only to 2017. Unlike the distribution cycle driven by ICOs, altcoin trading, and incentive mechanisms in that year, this round of selling is more about long-term holders realizing profits from deep liquidity needs arising from direct investment in US Bitcoin ETFs and corporate financial requirements. Looking ahead, K33 expects selling pressure to gradually ease. Lunde stated that approximately 20% of the Bitcoin supply has been reactivated over the past two years, and on-chain selling pressure is expected to approach saturation. The Bitcoin supply held for more than two years may end its current downward trend in 2026, exceeding the current level of approximately 12.16 million BTC. Furthermore, K33 also pointed to the potential asset allocation rebalancing effect at the end of the quarter and the beginning of the next. Given Bitcoin's significant underperformance compared to other assets in the fourth quarter, the reallocation of funds with fixed allocation ratios at the end of the year and the beginning of next year may bring a temporary inflow of funds to the market.