This Thursday, Biden and Trump will hold their first presidential debate in Atlanta, marking the start of the 2024 election. As of Monday night, the odds showed that Trump had a 59% chance of winning, while Biden had only 34%. Analysts believe that Polymarket may have captured trends that polls have not noticed. However, there is also a view that Polymarket is biased because the cryptocurrency industry generally favors Trump, resulting in an unrepresentative sample. In addition, cryptocurrency has become a hot spot for "Trump trading", which may exacerbate this trend. (Fortune)