Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that accounts with a win rate exceeding 75% have purchased over $480,000 in positions that would not result in a permanent peace agreement between the US and Iran by April 22nd, with an opening price of 83.1¢ and a current price of 82.5¢, resulting in a floating loss of approximately $3,750. Recently, the US and Iran have advanced to the second round of negotiations under Pakistan's mediation, but due to factors such as port blockades and regional tensions, the uncertainty of reaching a comprehensive agreement in the short term remains high, and market expectations are generally cautious. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing in prices.