Venezuela is anticipated to encounter a severe dollar shortage by early 2026, compelling small and medium-sized enterprises to raise product prices and resort to cryptocurrency for sustaining production. According to Foresight News, analysis indicates a 13% reduction in the number of dollars auctioned officially compared to the same period in 2025, with a total auction amount of $1.3 billion from mid-January to early March.
The official foreign exchange allocation system favors large food, medical, and chemical companies, leading to repeated rejections of foreign exchange applications from many medium-sized pharmaceutical and chemical suppliers. To import essential production materials, these companies are forced to turn to the more expensive informal market or use cryptocurrency for payments. This shift has increased production costs and contributed to Venezuela's inflation rate soaring to 600%. A survey by Venezuela's private manufacturing trade association, Conindustria, reveals that 58% of medium-sized business owners cite the lack of foreign exchange as a primary obstacle to production.