Matrixport: The trend of "BTC performing strongly in February" did not continue in February this year, and the trend in March remains unclear.

Matrixport released a chart today stating that Bitcoin historically tends to perform relatively strongly in the fourth quarter, but the previous cycle did not continue this seasonal pattern, further confirming that seasonal performance cannot be used as a definitive signal. February generally performs relatively strongly as well, but this year also failed to maintain this historical trend. In contrast, March's performance is typically more uncertain. Historically, March lacks a stable and consistent directional pattern; the distribution of gains and losses across different years is quite dispersed, and the fluctuation range is significantly wider. This means that relying solely on seasonality makes it difficult to form a highly confident judgment on March's trend. In the absence of clear macroeconomic catalysts, and when seasonal signals themselves lack consistency, short-term market performance is often more susceptible to tactical position adjustments and liquidity changes than to seasonality alone. Therefore, traders still need to continuously monitor data and remain vigilant for potential trend reversals.