Polymarket Trader “fishalive” Turns $427,000 Into $4.7 Million on Spain-Cape Verde Bet

A Polymarket trader known as “fishalive” turned about $427,000 into $4,702,769.23 after Spain failed to beat Cape Verde at the 2026 World Cup, one of the platform’s largest single trades. According to BeInCrypto, the trader bought roughly $427,952 of “No Spain win” shares when odds implied a 9% probability, and the market later settled after a 0-0 draw on June 15, 2026. The match was Spain’s tournament debut in Group H at the FIFA World Cup hosted by the United States, Mexico, and Canada.