Key Takeaways Nearly 35 million XRP were withdrawn from exchanges in 24 hours -- the sixth-largest daily outflow of 2026 -- reducing immediately available sell-side supply, per SantimentSimilar outflow spikes preceded a 20% XRP rally in March and a 48–50% surge in February, strengthening the case for a May price moveUS spot XRP ETFs recorded three consecutive weeks of net inflows totaling $82.88 million, pushing total AUM to $1.1 billion, per SoSoValueXRP whale flows have turned positive for the first time since early 2026, with the 90-day moving average crossing back above zero, per CryptoQuantA falling wedge technical setup targets the $1.87–$1.89 zone -- approximately 30% above current levels -- by June, aligning with the 50-week EMA and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement XRP is flashing a convergence of bullish on-chain, institutional, and technical signals that analysts say could drive a 30% price rally by June, with exchange outflows, whale accumulation, and ETF inflows all pointing in the same direction as the asset attempts to break out of a two-year falling wedge structure. Exchange Outflows Hit Sixth-Largest Day of 2026 As of Saturday, the XRP Ledger recorded nearly 35 million XRP in exchange outflows over the prior 24 hours -- the sixth-largest daily outflow of 2026 -- according to Santiment data. Large exchange outflows typically indicate investors are moving tokens into private wallets or cold storage, tightening the supply of XRP immediately available for sale on exchanges. The historical precedent for this signal is encouraging. A similar outflow spike in March preceded a roughly 20% XRP price rebound. February's outflow surge was followed by an even stronger move, with XRP gaining approximately 48–50% in the subsequent period. If the pattern holds, the latest withdrawal spike raises the probability of a meaningful price move in May. ETF Demand Signals Institutional Appetite Institutional interest in XRP is also building through regulated products. US-listed spot XRP ETFs have posted three consecutive weeks of net inflows totaling approximately $82.88 million as of Saturday, per SoSoValue data, pushing total assets under management to $1.1 billion. The sustained inflow streak reflects growing institutional appetite for XRP exposure through compliant, regulated vehicles -- a dynamic that adds a structural demand floor beneath the current price. Whales Shift to Accumulation On-chain whale flow data from CryptoQuant adds further weight to the bullish case. The 90-day moving average of XRP Ledger whale flows has crossed back above zero after spending much of early 2026 in negative territory -- a shift from distribution to accumulation among the largest market participants. Historically, positive whale flow regimes have preceded stronger XRP price trends, including the May–July 2025 rally that marked one of XRP's strongest multi-month periods in recent memory. Wedge Setup Targets 30% Upside by June From a technical standpoint, XRP has spent the past two years inside a falling wedge defined by two downward-sloping converging trend lines. April's rebound from the wedge's lower trend line support raises the probability of a move toward the upper boundary -- a target zone aligning with the 50-week EMA and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level near $1.87–$1.89, approximately 30% above current levels, with June as the potential timeframe. The downside scenario carries equal clarity. A decisive break below the wedge's lower trend line would invalidate the bullish setup and shift the target to the $0.98 level, aligning with the wedge's apex and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement -- a decline of approximately 40% from current prices.

DeepSeek is reportedly opening a new round of financing due to significant talent loss, according to ChainCatcher. Several key researchers have left the company to join major firms such as ByteDance, Tencent, Xiaomi, and autonomous driving company Yuanrong Qixing. This development comes as competitors Zhizhi Technology and MiniMax have recently listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, while another rival, Dark Side of the Moon, has completed three rounds of financing in the first quarter of this year, quadrupling its valuation since the end of last year.

Lending protocol Purrlend has experienced a security breach resulting in a loss of approximately $1.52 million. According to ChainCatcher, the attack targeted the MegaETH and HyperEVM networks. The attacker extracted around $1.2 million from the HyperEVM network, including 449,683 USDC, 214,125 USDT, 194,745 USDH, and some UBTC, wstHYPE, UETH, kHYPE, and WHYPE. Additionally, approximately $324,000 was taken from the MegaETH network, involving assets such as USDT, WETH, and USDm. In response to the incident, Purrlend has suspended its protocol and initiated an investigation. The attacker's address has been identified on block explorers for both networks.

Key Takeaways Bitcoin is trading below the 21-week exponential moving average at $78,400, a level that has acted as resistance since October 2025Analyst Rekt Capital warns continued rejection at the 21-week EMA could force a retest of the Double Bottom breakout level near $73,000Trader Killa sees a "strong chance" of a $73,000 revisit and argues even a close above $80,000 may not prevent new macro lows below $60,000A bearish May scenario is flagged, with any early-month strength potentially marking a pivot high before a deeper correctionBitcoin remains on track for its best monthly close since November 2024, but the weekly trend line is keeping bulls in check heading into the weekend Bitcoin is facing a critical test heading into the weekend, with the 21-week exponential moving average sitting at $78,400 continuing to reject price attempts higher -- a level that has capped upside since October 2025 and is increasingly in focus as traders debate whether April's strong monthly gains can survive into May.   BTC/USD has traded below the 21-week EMA for the entirety of the current bear market cycle. Despite a strong April recovery that has taken Bitcoin from lows near $60,000 to the high $70,000s, bulls have so far failed to reclaim the moving average as support -- a prerequisite, analysts say, for confirming a genuine trend reversal. Rekt Capital: $73,000 Retest on the Table Trader and analyst Rekt Capital laid out the bear case clearly in an X post on Friday. "Bitcoin continues to resist from the 21-week EMA," he wrote, warning that without a decisive reclaim of the level as support, the moving average "could indeed force BTC into a post-breakout retest of the top of the Double Bottom price broke out from last week." The Double Bottom structure, which Bitcoin broke out from in the prior week, has its top boundary near the $73,000 area -- making that level the primary downside target in a rejection scenario. The 21-week EMA also forms one side of Bitcoin's bull market support band, a technical zone that historically separates bull and bear market regimes on the weekly chart. Sub-$60,000 Still on the Table Trader Killa, who has maintained a bearish outlook on Bitcoin through the April recovery, went further, arguing that even a monthly close above $80,000 may not be sufficient to prevent a deeper macro correction. "With the monthly close next week, volatility and fakeouts are likely. If May opens strong and pushes higher early in the month, there's a good chance that move could mark the pivot high before a bearish May follows," Killa wrote on X Friday. "Either way, a close above resistance does not always mean true acceptance. In a broader macro downtrend, breaks above key levels can often be used to trap late positions." Killa flagged a "strong chance" of price revisiting $73,000 and kept sub-$60,000 in play as a broader macro downside target -- a scenario that would represent a full retracement of April's gains and a retest of February cycle lows. Bulls Still Have a Case The bearish technical read sits in tension with April's fundamental backdrop. Bitcoin is on track for its best monthly performance since November 2024, up approximately 14.3% month-to-date. US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded nine consecutive days of inflows totaling $2.12 billion. Exchange BTC balances sit at multiyear lows, and the Bull Score Index has entered neutral territory for the first time in the current bear cycle. The monthly close, now one week away, will be the decisive data point. A weekly and monthly close above the 21-week EMA at $78,400 would shift the technical picture materially. Failure to hold above it keeps the $73,000 retest scenario firmly in play heading into what could be a volatile May.

대출 프로토콜 Purrlend가 MegaETH 및 HyperEVM 네트워크에서 해킹을 당해 약 152만 달러의 손실을 입었다. 공격자는 HyperEVM 네트워크에서 449,683 USDC, 214,125 USDT0, 194,745 USDH 및 일부 UBTC, wstHYPE, UETH, kHYPE, WHYPE를 포함해 약 120만 달러 상당의 자산을 인출했습니다. 또한 공격자는 MegaETH 네트워크에서 USDT0, WETH, USDm을 포함한 약 32만 4천 달러 상당의 자산을 인출했습니다. 현재 Purrlend는 프로토콜 운영을 중단하고 조사를 진행 중이며, 공격자 주소는 두 네트워크의 블록체인의 블록 탐색기에서 확인되었습니다.

가상화폐 프로젝트가 특정 패턴의 특징을 갖추고 있으며, 현재 국내에서 가상화폐 투기를 엄격히 단속하는 정책 기조와 맞물릴 경우, ‘다단계 판매 조직 및 주도’ 혐의로 규정될 수 있는 상당한 형사상 위험이 존재한다.

Rep. Anna Paulina Luna has accused Nancy Pelosi of engaging in insider trading, citing a reported 17,000% return on her portfolio since 1987 as implausible without access to nonpublic information. According to NS3.AI, this accusation comes amid bipartisan efforts to introduce legislation that would mandate lawmakers and their immediate family members to divest from individual stock holdings within 180 days.

PANews posted on X (formerly Twitter). Drift Protocol's product lead, Minh Don, announced on the official Discord channel that the team is working on optimizing the codebase by removing and adding minor yet impactful features. The relaunch of the forked exchange is planned for May or June this year. Previously, Drift Protocol suffered losses exceeding $285 million due to an attack.

Arkham 데이터에 따르면, zkPass 팀의 다중 서명 주소(0xEF1)는 지난 30분 동안 총 10,000,000 ZKP를 바이낸스로 이체했으며, 이는 약 79.61만 달러 상당이다. 현재 ZKP의 유통 공급량은 2억 6,800만 개이며, 이번 분배량은 유통 총량의 약 3.73%를 차지한다. ZKP의 현재 가격은 0.07964달러로, 24시간 동안 7.35% 하락했으며, 시가총액은 현재 2,137만 달러이다.

1. 푸펑: 비트코인 영구 계약의 본질은 대형 투자자가 포지션을 유지하며 수익을 챙기고, 소매 투자자가 레버리지를 이용해 매수 포지션을 취하며 비용을 지불하는 구조이다; 2. 미국 언론: 이란은 미국과의 협상에 개방적인 태도를 보이고 있으나, 우라늄 농축 권리를 고수하고 있다; 3. 브라질, Kalshi 및 Polymarket 등 27개 예측 시장 플랫폼 금지; 4. 두 거대 고래가 바이낸스에서 총 467만 달러 상당의 LINK를 인출; 5. 젤렌스키: 러시아 측이 준비가 되어 있다면 우크라이나는 아제르바이잔에서 우크라이나-러시아 평화 협상을 개최할 용의가 있음; 6. 연구원이 15자리 ECC 키를 해독해 1비트코인 보상을 획득; 7. FF 팀 주소가 새 지갑으로 1,300만 달러 상당의 토큰을 이체; 8. a16z: 스테이블코인이 거래 도구에서 핵심 금융 인프라로 진화하고 있으며, 1분기 거래량은 4.5조 달러에 달함; 9. 한 고래가 브렌트유에 5배 레버리지로 매수 포지션을 취했으며, 현재 포지션 가치는 2,000만 달러에 달함; 10. 분석: 스페이스X, 오픈AI, 앤트로픽의 상장으로 인한 자금 유입이 비트코인 및 암호화폐 시장의 유동성에 충격을 줄 수 있음.

신화 그룹의 수석 경제학자 푸펑은 X 플랫폼에 게시한 글에서, 비트코인 영구 계약의 기본 비즈니스 모델이 전통 금융에서 금이나 산업용 원자재 현물 거래소의 이연 수수료 또는 롤오버 수수료와 본질적으로 동일하다고 밝혔다. 푸펑은 금 거래소가 과거 매일 강제 청산 결제를 통해 매수·매도 양측이 서로 이연 수수료를 지불하도록 했으며, 개인 투자자가 높은 레버리지의 매수 포지션을 보유할 때 이연 수수료가 플랫폼의 안정적인 수익원이 된다고 지적했다. 현재 비트코인 플랫폼은 8시간마다 정산되는 선물 계약의 자금 수수료를 기반으로 운영되며, 매수 세력이 우세할 때 소매 투자자들은 지속적으로 매도 세력에게 비용을 지불하게 된다. 플랫폼은 이 비용을 직접 징수하지는 않지만, 이를 통해 거래 활성도, 미결제 약정량 및 유동성을 높여 간접적으로 막대한 수수료를 확보한다. 이 모델의 본질은 대형 투자자나 기관이 장기 포지션을 유지하며 수익을 창출하고, 소매 투자자가 레버리지를 이용해 매수 포지션을 취할 때 비용을 지불하며, 플랫폼이 이를 통해 간접적으로 수익을 챙기는 비즈니스 모델이다.

스테이블코인은 거래 수단에서 범용 결제 인프라로 진화하고 있으며, 이 과정은 대다수의 사람들이 예상했던 것보다 훨씬 조용하고 철저하게 진행되고 있다.

미·이란 휴전 연장, BTC 현물 ETF 6일 연속 순유입.

여러 가지 새로운 모델을 소개해 드린 후, 오늘 이 글에서는 AI 업계의 출시 주기로 인해 발생하는 ‘초현실적인’ 현상에 대해 이야기해 보고자 합니다.

오늘의 주제는 무엇이 프로토콜에 반취약성을 부여하는지, 그리고 토큰이 생태계를 움직이는 지렛대로 어떻게 활용되는지에 관한 것입니다.

엔비디아의 시가총액이 5조 달러 선을 굳건히 지키며, 전 세계에서 가장 높은 기업 가치를 가진 기업으로 자리매김했다.

미국, 이란, 스테이블코인, 미국, 이란의 암호화폐 3억 4,400만 달러 동결, 골든파이낸스, 미국이 다시 이란을 겨냥했다.

일부 기관은 할인된 가격에 즉시 매도하기로 결정했다고 공개적으로 밝혔습니다. 이 프로젝트는 곧 일회성으로 대규모 매도 물량이 쏟아지는 압박을 겪게 될 전망이며, AI 분야의 폭발적인 성장에 발맞출 수 있을지 여부는 이번 시련을 어떻게 극복하느냐에 달려 있습니다.

암호화폐 시장, 암호화폐, 시세, 양하이포의 『암호화폐의 종말』에 대한 반론, 골든파이낸스, 이것이야말로 암호화폐의 진정한 시험일지도 모른다.

월드컵을 앞두고 암호화폐 업계의 ‘장거리 슛’은 필연적으로 예측 시장에 나타날 것이지만, 이를 거대한 파도가 밀려오기 시작하는 신호라기보다는 차라리 매도 타이밍으로 보는 것이 좋다.