Binance Market Update | Record $57B Leveraged ETF Selling Drove the Nov 5 Selloff as CPI and 80% December Hike Odds Test Markets
Morgan Stanley says leveraged ETFs sold a record $57B of US stocks on November 5, when the Nasdaq fell about 5.5%, while hedge funds cut net leverage 5 points in a day. Bitcoin steadied near $75,950 with neutral funding rates. Tokenized gold trading on Binance hit a record $325M in weekly volume as gold stabilized near $4,000. Inflation mentions on S&P 500 earnings calls reached 820, the most since February 2024. Tuesday’s October CPI, CoreWeave earnings and Anthropic’s IPO roadshow headline the week, with December hike odds at about 80%.Morgan Stanley: Record $57 Billion Leveraged ETF Selling Drove November 5 Stock SelloffLeveraged ETFs sold $57B of US stocks on November 5, the most since data began in 2007, per Morgan Stanley’s derivatives team. The Nasdaq fell about 5.5% that day. Net leverage at US long-short hedge funds fell 5 points in one day, the fifth-largest drop since 2010, and now sits in the bottom 10% of its historical range. Since June, active selling has cut hedge fund exposure by 10.7% of end-June holdings, the largest reduction in at least 10 years. AI stocks still make up 32% of hedge fund absolute exposure. Retail selling in the first 90 minutes was the second-largest since 2016, and rising stock correlations point to broader risk-cutting.US CPI, PPI and CoreWeave Earnings to Test Markets as Fed Hike Bets Hit 80%LSEG data shows about an 80% probability of a December hike, with two more 25bp hikes expected this cycle, after October payrolls of 165,000 and unemployment at 4.1%. October CPI is due Tuesday, November 10, at 13:30 UTC, with ING expecting +0.3% headline and core; PPI follows Friday. Waller, Bowman, Barr and Jefferson speak this week. CoreWeave reports Tuesday after the close, Nebius and Cisco on Thursday, alongside Anthropic’s possible roadshow launch, a “double stress test” for AI assets. Explosive Options’ Bob Lang noted the CBOE put/call ratio hit 1.2, twice its average, and wants repeats to confirm a bottom. Freedom Capital’s Jay Woods wants the VIX above 30; it was around 24 Friday. US, Russia and Ukraine hold talks in Abu Dhabi November 10-11.Inflation Mentions on S&P 500 Earnings Calls Hit 820, Highest Since February 2024Inflation-related terms came up 820 times on S&P 500 earnings calls in October, per Bloomberg. One week into November, mentions had already passed all of November last year. Bloomberg Economics says income growth is failing to keep pace with prices. Higher oil is raising costs for fuel, fertilizer and plastic resin. GM expects commodity, logistics and memory chip costs to cost about $2B this year. Wells Fargo CEO Charles Scharf said persistent inflation and high rates are a headwind for consumers and corporate clients.Tokenized Gold Trading on Binance Hits Record $325 Million Weekly Volume as Crypto Market CoolsGold-backed product volume on Binance exceeded $325M over seven days, excluding the listing spike, per analyst Darkfost. Trading peaked at $78M on November 5, the day US stocks sold off. Cumulative volume has passed $8B since launch. Tokenized assets total about $50B per CoinGecko, with commodity-backed tokens near $6B, mostly gold. Gold is down more than 30% from its high this year and stabilizing near $4,000.Bitcoin Steadies Near $75,950 as Funding Rates Hold Neutral and ETH Bearish Sentiment EasesBitcoin traded around $75,950 on November 8, up 0.09% over 24 hours. BTC funding is 0.0087% (open interest-weighted) and 0.0081% (volume-weighted). ETH funding rose to 0.0068% and 0.0064%, within the neutral range, pointing to easing bearish sentiment. The baseline is 0.01%, with readings below 0.005% signaling bearish sentiment.One flag: story 2’s source says “about 80%” while yesterday’s digest cited 78% and 75% from different sources; keep the LSEG attribution.
