Citic Securities has released a report indicating that the global trend of central banks purchasing gold remains structurally resilient. According to Jin10, the market may be overestimating the driving forces and impact mechanisms behind this trend. The report outlines several key points: 1) The proportion of non-standard channels and domestic storage in gold purchases is rising, reflecting the strengthened attribute of gold as a 'sovereign safe asset.' 2) The current wave of gold buying goes beyond conventional reserve management and should not be directly equated with de-dollarization. The primary logic for central banks holding gold remains crisis hedging and reserve diversification. 3) Recent disturbances, such as temporary reductions by central banks in Turkey and Russia due to fiscal pressures, are tactical and do not alter the global net buying pattern. 4) Central bank gold purchases are a long-term force elevating the gold price center, but their behavior of buying on dips means they play more of a supporting role. Variables like real interest rates have a more significant impact on gold prices. 5) The gap in gold reserve proportions between emerging market central banks and developed countries is substantial, indicating that the current cycle of central bank gold purchases is far from over. Citic Securities is optimistic about medium to long-term allocation opportunities but advises monitoring signals of weakened correlation between gold and risk assets in the short term as a key entry point for buying on dips.

On April 13, Jin10 reported that a research note from CITIC Securities highlighted the significant rise in U.S. overall inflation for March, driven by soaring oil prices, while core inflation remained moderate. According to Jin10, CITIC Securities anticipates minimal risk of secondary inflation in the U.S. and suggests that April's CPI may continue to show elevated growth due to compensatory increases in rental inflation. If oil prices decline slowly, U.S. CPI could remain above 3% year-on-year for the rest of the year. CITIC Securities also forecasts a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve within the year, which may lead to a weaker U.S. dollar in the near term. This scenario could create liquidity-driven recovery opportunities for gold prices. Additionally, U.S. equities might benefit from improved risk appetite, while U.S. Treasury yields may lack sufficient downward momentum due to economic fundamentals.

「金色財経」は、仮想通貨・ブロックチェーン業界の朝刊『金色早8点』第3025号を発行し、デジタル通貨およびブロックチェーン業界の最新ニュースをお届けします。

According to Jin10, a report by China International Capital Corporation (CICC) suggests that after the short-term factors boosting the dollar fade, the narrative of global currency order restructuring and the weakening of dollar hegemony may once again dominate market direction. The United States' continuous accumulation of net external debt increases its need for dollar depreciation. The uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's policies and the unresolved risks of dollar 'weaponization' also dampen market demand for U.S. assets. The new Federal Reserve Chair, Walsh, advocates for a 'balance sheet reduction' policy, which could objectively help restore the dollar's credibility if implemented. However, Walsh's policy is constrained by the resilience of the real economy and financial markets, as well as political limitations. Additionally, Trump's foreign, trade, and economic policies continue to negatively impact the dollar's credibility. Considering the overall impact of Walsh and Trump's policies, it is difficult to conclude that the dollar's credibility will improve in the future. We anticipate that the global currency order may continue to restructure, driving the dollar to maintain a long-term depreciation trend.

According to BlockBeats, on April 13, The Wall Street Journal reported that following unsuccessful marathon peace talks in Islamabad, Middle Eastern countries are urging the United States and Iran to return to negotiations. Despite both sides issuing strong statements, diplomatic channels remain open, and a second round of talks could occur within days. Regional nations are in discussions with the U.S. to extend the fragile two-week ceasefire announced on Tuesday evening. Iranian officials have proposed alternative suggestions, such as continuing symbolic uranium enrichment activities or reducing their enriched uranium stockpile, but no compromise has been reached.

Japanese companies are entering the earnings season with a pessimistic outlook as crude oil prices surge following the unsuccessful U.S. peace talks with Iran. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the impact of geopolitical tensions on the global oil market. The failure of negotiations has led to increased uncertainty, affecting various sectors in Japan that rely heavily on energy imports. As oil prices climb, businesses are bracing for higher operational costs, which could impact their profitability in the coming months. The situation underscores the interconnectedness of global events and their influence on national economies.

In the Polymarket prediction event for the NBA regular season game between the Orlando Magic and the Boston Celtics, a user with significant earnings of over $1.8 million has invested more than $370,000 on the Magic to win with a 10.5-point spread at an average opening price of 57.9¢. Additionally, the user placed $30,000 on the Magic to win with a 12.5-point spread at an average opening price of 52¢. According to Odaily, the game, which started at 6 a.m. UTC+8, is currently at halftime with the Magic leading 61-52. Today marks the final day of the NBA regular season, with the Magic holding a record of 45 wins and 36 losses, placing them 7th in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics, with a record of 55 wins and 26 losses, are ranked 2nd in the Eastern Conference.

Strategy has reported an unrealized loss of approximately $14.5 billion on its Bitcoin holdings for the first quarter. According to NS3.AI, the company last acquired 4,871 Bitcoin on April 6, spending over $329.8 million. This purchase increased Strategy's total Bitcoin holdings to 766,970, valued at around $54.5 billion at current market prices. Historically, when Michael Saylor, the company's leader, shares the Bitcoin acquisition chart, it often precedes a new purchase announcement within days.

Odaily Seerのモニタリングによると、Polymarketの「NBAレギュラーシーズン：マジック対セルティックス」の予測イベントにおいて、ある180万ドル以上の利益を上げているアカウント（アドレス：0xc2e7800b5af46e6093872b177b7a5e7f0563be51）が、37万ドル以上を投じてマジックが10.5ポイントハンデでセルティックスに勝利するベットを行い、建玉平均価格は57.9¢であった。さらに3万ドルをマジック対セルティックスの12.5ポイントハンディキャップ勝利に投入し、平均購入価格は52¢でした。NBAレギュラーシーズンのマジック対セルティックス戦は、北京時間本日6時に開始され、現在はハーフタイム中で、スコアは61対52、マジックがリードしています。本日はNBAレギュラーシーズンの最終日であり、マジックの成績は45勝36敗で東部7位、セルティックスの成績は55勝26敗で東部2位となっている。Odaily Seerは予測市場を継続的に注視し、価格決定の前に変化を捉えている。

U.S. President Donald Trump and his administration are contemplating the resumption of limited military strikes against Iran. According to NS3.AI, this potential action may involve a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The objective of these measures is reportedly to address the current deadlock in peace negotiations between the two nations.

Nic Puckrin has expressed concerns that the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict could negatively affect cryptocurrency markets until 2026. According to NS3.AI, Puckrin believes that Bitcoin's recovery to $90,000 would require several favorable conditions. He also noted that a Federal Reserve rate cut is unlikely to occur before late Q3 or Q4, and it may not happen at all this year.

中東での停戦報道は一時的にリスク資産を押し上げたが、ウォール街のストラテジストらは、この戦争がインフレ、エネルギー供給、そしてFRBの政策余地において、容易には埋められない傷跡を残したと警告している。

トランプ、WLFI、プロジェクト、皮肉たっぷりの投稿が拡散——WLFIの共同創業者自らが反論に名乗り出たが、一つ一つ論破される。金財経、参入するのは個人投資家、撤退するのは大口投資家。

ブラックロックでは、リック・リーダー氏は、グローバル債券およびマルチアセット市場における最大2.7兆ドルの資産運用を統括する一方、ブラックロック傘下のワイド・インベストメント・カウンシル（Wide Investment Council）の会長も務めている。

AIの時代が到来しつつある――より正確に言えば、すでに到来しており、ウォール街の機関投資家や個人投資家によってますます活用されつつある。

「金色週刊」は、金色財経が提供するブロックチェーン業界の週間まとめコーナーであり、その内容は、その週の主要ニュース、マイニング関連情報、プロジェクトの動向、技術の進展など、業界の最新動向を網羅しています。

「石器時代」を思わせる脅威から、2週間の停戦の急速な実現に至るまで、イランをめぐるこの紛争は短期間で劇的な展開を見せた。表面的には情勢が沈静化し、市場も反発しているが、より根深い構造的な問題は依然として解決されていない。

先日、『ニューヨーク・タイムズ』紙は長編の調査報道を掲載し、暗号資産業界を17年間にわたって悩ませてきた疑問――サトシ・ナカモトとは一体誰なのか――を改めて問い直した。

今週は計12社のブロックチェーン系スタートアップが6270万ドルの資金調達を行った。Pharosは4400万ドルのシリーズAラウンドを完了し、今週最大の資金調達となった。

「金色財経」は、仮想通貨・ブロックチェーン業界の朝刊『金色早8点』第3024号を発行し、デジタル通貨およびブロックチェーン業界の最新ニュースをいち早くお届けします。