随着 2021 年比特币牛市的到来，出现了很多所谓的“比特币游客”。这些投资者被市场上的收益所感动，并随着价格上涨而开始对数字资产进行 FOMO（害怕错过）。现在熊市已经到来，一些事情已经发生。其中之一是随着损失继续撼动空间，这些比特币游客退出市场。
在市场崩盘引发的最初上涨之后，比特币网络上的活动一直在下降。但随之而来的是，在“银行挤兑”之后网络上的活动地址数量减少，因为用户争先恐后地出售以避免更多损失。顺便说一句，当网络活动恢复正常时，活跃地址的大部分下降是记录下来的。
相关阅读 | 如果价格持续下跌，比特币矿工会怎样？
这表明所谓的“纸手”开始退出市场。来自的报告玻璃节点 强调指出，7 天移动平均线上的比特币活跃地址数量从 11 月份的每天 100 万个下降 13% 到 7 月初的每天 870,000 个地址。
活动地址的数量在 2020 年达到顶峰，但在 2021 年到 2022 年之前一直保持在合理水平。因此，网络上的活动现在非常低。
活跃地址下降 13% |来源：玻璃节点
现在，在低活跃时期，它表明“比特币游客”已经退出市场，此时，留下来的是那些对市场有更高信念的人。这已将网络推向清除市场上所有投机活动并恢复适当平衡的地步。
判断比特币价格在短期内最终会走向何方仍然是一项艰巨的任务，尤其是在今年余下的时间里。清除投机投资者和市场游客是一件非常好的事情，但这并不意味着数字资产很快就会复苏。
BTC 努力持有 20,000 美元 |来源：TradingView.com 上的 BTCUSD
例如，尽管比特币在过去一天已经能够恢复到 20,000 美元上方，但它继续努力守住这一点并在 20,500 美元的阻力位与空头作战。它的小幅复苏也没有看到它突破任何重要的技术水平，因为它仍然远低于其 50 天移动平均线。
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由于清洗，市场唯一可以期待的是情绪稳定。因此，随着投机活动的减少，波动性可能会在一定程度上降低。但是，没有明确迹象表明比特币将在短期内再次出现牛市反弹。
来自 Changelly 的特色图片，来自 Glassnode 和 TradingView.com 的图表
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