VanEck: Bitcoin Could Hit $1 Million and Digital Credit Market Could Reach $2.5 Trillion Within a Decade

VanEck analyst Matthew Sigel, whose firm manages approximately $200 billion in assets, has outlined a bullish long-term vision for both Bitcoin and the broader digital credit market — projecting that BTC could reach $1 million per coin and that the digital credit market could expand to $2.5 trillion within the next decade. Sigel described the $1 million Bitcoin price target as "absolutely within reach," framing the projection not as a speculative ceiling but as a logical destination given the structural forces driving institutional adoption, monetary debasement, and the growing role of digital assets in global financial infrastructure. The digital credit market projection — $2.5 trillion over ten years — reflects VanEck's view that blockchain-based lending, tokenized debt instruments, and on-chain credit markets are on a trajectory to become a significant component of the global financial system. The tokenized real-world asset market has already grown from $1 billion to more than $15 billion in two years, providing early validation of the kind of exponential growth curve Sigel's projection implies at a larger scale. The comments arrive at a moment when near-term Bitcoin sentiment has turned sharply bearish — with BTC trading near $77,000, ETF outflows accelerating, and Polymarket giving a 65% probability of a drop to $75,000 this month. VanEck's decade-long framing places those short-term pressures in a different context, suggesting that current macro headwinds — rising bond yields, Fed rate hike odds, and geopolitical disruption — are noise against a longer structural signal that remains firmly intact.