据一位美国官员和一位知情人士透露，经过三周的战争，特朗普政府已经开始就下一阶段以及与伊朗和平谈判的可能形式进行初步讨论。美国总统特朗普周五表示，他正在考虑“逐步结束”战争，但美国官员表示，预计战斗还会持续两到三周。与此同时，特朗普的顾问们希望开始为外交斡旋做准备。消息人士透露，特朗普的特使库什纳和威特科夫正在参与有关潜在外交途径的讨论。任何结束战争的协议都必须包括重新开放霍尔木兹海峡、解决伊朗的高浓缩铀库存问题、并就伊朗的核计划、弹道导弹以及对该地区代理人的支持达成长期协议。另据其他消息人士透露，尽管埃及、卡塔尔和英国都曾为美伊传递信息，但近几日美伊之间并无直接接触。埃及和卡塔尔已告知美国和以色列，伊朗有意进行谈判，但条件非常强硬，伊朗的要求包括停火、保证未来不再发生战争以及赔偿。(Axios)

Coinglass 数据显示，过去 1 小时全网爆仓金额达 1.16 亿美元，其中多单爆仓 1.09 亿美元，空单爆仓 669 万美元，此外 BTC 爆仓金额达 4475 万美元，ETH 爆仓金额达 4202 万美元。

Marine Le Pen's nationalist party is currently leading in the polls ahead of France's presidential election next year. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the significant shift in the political landscape as Le Pen's party gains traction after years of challenging the country's political norms against the far right. This development marks a notable change in voter sentiment, reflecting growing support for nationalist policies. As the election approaches, the party's lead in the polls suggests a potential reshaping of France's political future.

China's AI large model call volume reached 4.69 trillion tokens as of March 15, surpassing the United States for the second consecutive week, according to OpenRouter. Chinese models secured the top three global positions by call volume. According to NS3.AI, JPMorgan Chase predicts that China's AI inference token consumption will increase significantly, from around 10 quadrillion in 2025 to approximately 3,900 quadrillion by 2030.

According to Jin10, Luo Zhiheng, Chief Economist at Yuekai Securities, asserts that the recent sharp decline in gold prices does not signify the end of a bull market but rather a deep correction within an upward trend. He highlights several factors that continue to support gold prices in the long term. Firstly, the normalization of global geopolitical risks, exacerbated by U.S. President Donald Trump's foreign policy, has increased conflict frequency and intensified chain reactions, which are expected to weaken the credibility of the U.S. dollar continuously. Secondly, the strong demand for gold from non-U.S. central banks remains robust, likely pushing the central price of gold higher. In this new geopolitical risk environment, increasing gold reserves has become a crucial strategy for non-U.S. central banks to mitigate sanction risks and enhance financial security. Emerging market central banks, in particular, are actively increasing their reserves, with significant room for growth. Lastly, if global economic risks shift from inflation to stagnation, gold prices are expected to find support. The surge in global energy prices is directly eroding consumers' purchasing power and may lead to tighter monetary policies that suppress demand and curb inflation, potentially resulting in economic downturns or even recessions. In such a stagnation environment, the strategic value of gold is likely to become more pronounced.

China's Commerce Minister Wang Wentao recently met with the president and CEO of the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, along with executives from multinational pharmaceutical companies including Novartis, AstraZeneca, Roche, Boehringer Ingelheim, and Organon. According to Jin10, the discussions focused on the development and concerns of foreign pharmaceutical enterprises operating in China. Wang highlighted that a recent round of dialogue between Chinese and U.S. trade teams resulted in new agreements, emphasizing the mutual benefits of China-U.S. economic and trade relations. He noted that a stable, healthy, and sustainable economic relationship between the two countries would provide multinational companies with a stable outlook for their operations in China.

At 14:53, a transfer of 4,793 ETH was recorded from one anonymous address to another. According to ChainCatcher, the transaction involved a significant amount of Ethereum, valued at approximately $10.11 million. The transfer originated from the address starting with 0x04A2 and was sent to an address beginning with 0x8ED8.

Denmark is reevaluating its stance on certain policies that were previously considered untouchable due to the aggressive approach of U.S. President Donald Trump and the prevailing global instability. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting how the current international climate is prompting Danish policymakers to reconsider their strategies. The shift in Denmark's policy perspective reflects broader concerns about maintaining stability and security in an increasingly unpredictable world. As global tensions rise, Denmark is not alone in reassessing its policies to adapt to the changing geopolitical landscape.

全球最大 AI 模型 API 聚合平台 OpenRouter 最新发布的数据显示，截至 3 月 15 日，中国 AI 大模型的周调用量达到 4.69 万亿 Token，连续第二周超越美国。全球调用量排名前三的位置，更是被中国模型包揽。摩根大通预测，中国的 AI 推理 Token 消耗量将从 2025 年的约 10 千万亿增长至 2030 年的约 3900 千万亿，五年间增长约 370 倍。（央视财经）

XRP experienced a decline of approximately 2.6%, dropping from $1.4457 to $1.4079 after falling below the $1.44 mark late in the trading session. According to NS3.AI, the selling volume increased to more than three times the daily average as XRP stabilized around $1.40.

AI 叙事继续发酵，相关个股的近期表现却有的身在盛夏，有的如在寒冬。

自伊朗战争爆发近三周以来市场一直抱持一个令人宽慰的押注：能源供应中断将是短暂的，霍尔木兹海峡将重新开放，美联储的降息周期将如期恢复。过去一周，这个押注彻底崩塌。

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麦格理预测，美联储下一次动作将是加息，最有可能是明年上半年，即使届时沃什可能已经上位，但他毕竟只有一票......

一周即将过去，BTC仍在7万刀上方徘徊。时代巨变就在身边每天发生，多数人却依旧无视未来已来。

中东冲突进入第21天，市场在同一个交易日内经历了从升级到降级的剧烈反转。

Cursor被指基于Kimi K2.5引发争议，随后确认通过Fireworks AI合规授权。

负责元宇宙项目的Meta旗下部门Reality Labs，自2020年以来累计已录得约750亿美元的运营亏损，预计今年还将再亏损190亿美元。