The probability of another cryptocurrency hack resulting in losses exceeding $100 million by December 31 is currently estimated at 57% on Polymarket. According to Foresight News, this prediction includes potential attacks on decentralized exchanges and lending protocols.

Social media sentiment towards Bitcoin has become increasingly bearish, reaching its highest level in five weeks. According to NS3.AI, Santiment's bullish-to-bearish comment ratio dropped to 0.81 on Saturday. Additionally, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remained in the Extreme Fear category, holding steady at 12 on Sunday.

Token,人工智能,技术,还有谁是不能被蒸馏成skill的？ 金色财经,Token十万斩阎罗。

美国总统特朗普在社交平台上发文：各位美国同胞，在过去的几个小时里，美国军方执行了美国历史上最大胆的搜救行动之一，目标是我们一位杰出的军官机组成员。我非常激动地告诉大家，他现在已经安然无恙！这位勇敢的战士此前身处敌后，被困在伊朗险恶的山区，正被我们的敌人搜捕，敌人每小时都在逼近。但他从未真正孤单过，因为他的三军统帅、战争部长、参谋长联席会议主席以及他的战友们，全天候都在监控着他的位置，并精心策划着他的营救。根据我的指示，美国军方出动了数十架战机，携带世界上“最致命的武器”，将失踪的飞行员救回。他受了伤，但未来会完全康复。这次奇迹般的搜救行动，是在昨天成功救出另一位勇敢飞行员之后进行的。我们之前没有确认那次行动，因为不想危及第二次救援。我们永远不会丢下任何一名美国战士！我们能够完成这两次行动，且没有一名美国人阵亡，甚至没有受伤，这再次证明了我们已经在伊朗上空取得了压倒性的制空权和空中优势。

伊朗塔斯尼姆通讯社：伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队称，一架正在搜寻飞行员的美军飞机在伊斯法罕省被击落。(金十)

U.S. President Donald Trump announced on April 5 that the U.S. military has completed one of the most daring rescue operations in American history. According to BlockBeats, the operation involved rescuing a remarkable crew member. Under Trump's directive, the military deployed dozens of aircraft equipped with the world's 'most lethal weapons' to recover the missing pilot. The pilot sustained injuries but is expected to make a full recovery.

Bitcoin developers are evaluating proposals for quantum defense following Google's recent research indicating that a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could potentially break Bitcoin's core cryptography in less than nine minutes. According to NS3.AI, the article discusses several initiatives, including BIP 360, post-quantum signature schemes, a commit/reveal design for mempool protection, and Hourglass V2. However, it is noted that none of these proposals have been activated yet.

The probability of U.S. military forces entering Iran by April 30 has surged to 96.5% on Polymarket, marking an 11% increase within 24 hours. According to Odaily, this spike reflects heightened speculation in the prediction market. An American government official informed Al Jazeera that the second crew member from a downed F-15E fighter jet has been rescued, although the rescue operation is still ongoing. The rescued crew member is confirmed safe but not yet out of danger, as the rescue team must successfully evacuate from Iran and return safely. Polymarket's rules state that the market will be deemed "yes" if active U.S. military personnel enter Iranian land territory by the specified date (Eastern Time). Special operations forces are included, but intelligence personnel are not. Entry into Iranian waters or airspace does not count.

Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示， Polymarket 上“截至 4 月 30 日，美军进入伊朗”概率大幅上升，当前概率为 96.5%。据半岛电视台，一名美国政府官员告诉半岛电视台，被击落的 F-15E 战斗机上的第二名机组人员已获救，救援行动仍在进行中。失踪的机组人员已确认获救，但目前尚未脱险。他们补充说，救援队仍需成功从伊朗撤离，安全返回。根据 Polymarket 判定规则，如果美国现役军人在指定日期（美国东部时间）前的任何时间实际进入伊朗，则该市场将判定为“是”。否则，该市场将判定为“否”。特种作战部队人员符合条件；但情报人员不计入在内。美国军人必须实际进入伊朗陆地领土才符合条件。进入伊朗海域或领空不计入在内。Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场，在定价之前，看见变化。

据半岛电视台：一名美国政府官员表示，在经过“激烈交火”后，被击落的 F-15E 战斗机上的第二名机组人员已获救。(金十)

The International Energy Agency (IEA) Chief, Fatih Birol, has issued a warning regarding the potential doubling of oil and refined product losses in April if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to shipping. According to Odaily, Birol emphasized that even if the conflict ends, it will take a significant amount of time to return to normalcy. Birol stated that the IEA is closely monitoring all critical energy assets in the region, including oil and gas fields, pipelines, refineries, and liquefied natural gas terminals. He noted that 72 energy assets have been damaged, with one-third suffering severe or very severe damage. He commended Saudi Arabia for its swift response to the crisis, highlighting the country's rerouting of over two-thirds of its oil exports through a pipeline to the Red Sea. Birol mentioned that Saudi authorities assured him of the pipeline's robust protection. However, he cautioned that any attack on this route could have extremely serious consequences for the global economy.

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当大多数人仍将 AI 视为「更高效的搜索工具」时，Perplexity 正在开始执行工作。

美国,特朗普,行情,特朗普嘴炮反复搅动市场 中期选举“岌岌可危”？ 金色财经,过去24小时，加密圈的KOL们在聊什么呢？

谷歌研究人员指出，到2029年，量子计算机或将攻破主流区块链安全体系。现有多达690万枚比特币因公钥已暴露在外，随时可能遭到量子算力破解。

就在刚刚，全球AI巨头Anthropic正式发出通牒：从美国东部时间4月4日 15:00起，强行将OpenClaw踢出Claude订阅服务的白名单！全球开发者惊呆了。

2026年4月3日，号称加密彭博社的Coinglass发布了2026年Q1加密市场份额研究报告。

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恐慌情绪把这两件事混在一起，制造了一个既不准确也没有行动价值的末日叙事。