According to ChainCatcher, Scotiabank's Chief Foreign Exchange Strategist, Shaun Osborne, has advised caution regarding the interpretation of recent data releases, suggesting that the decline in the U.S. dollar may not be as pronounced as expected. Despite the noise in the data, Osborne believes that the overall downward trend of the dollar is likely to be reinforced, especially when considering the previous day's market performance.

According to PANews, traders have intensified their bets that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates before Fed Chair Jerome Powell's term ends in May. This shift follows a report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics indicating that core consumer prices rose slightly less than anticipated. While traders still consider a rate cut in June as the most likely outcome, the probability of an April rate cut has increased to approximately 42%, up from 38% before the data release.

According to PANews, spot gold prices have reached $4,620 per ounce, marking a 0.51% increase for the day. Meanwhile, spot silver has experienced a significant rise of over 3.00%, currently trading at $87.71 per ounce.

According to Odaily, foreign exchange strategist Audrey Freeman has noted that the moderate Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December has provided a welcome relief amid growing skepticism about the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cuts. Freeman suggests that it may be premature to abandon expectations of the Federal Reserve adopting a dovish stance this year. Furthermore, she indicates that it might still be too early to dismiss the bearish outlook on the U.S. dollar driven by potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026.

外汇策略师奥黛丽·弗里曼表示，在美联储降息预期开始受到质疑之际，12 月温和的 CPI 数据带来了可喜的缓解效果，表明现在放弃对美联储今年转向鸽派的预期仍为时过早。这也意味着，现在放弃对 2026 年美联储（降息）驱动的美元看跌观点可能仍为时过早。(金十)

一名美国联邦法官已暂时叫停田纳西州强制预测市场运营商 Kalshi 关停其在该州的体育赛事合约，冻结了一项勒令停止通知。法院将审议该公司受美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）监管的平台是否应免受州赌博法的约束。根据周一签署的命令，该裁决暂停了田纳西州体育博彩委员会和州总检察长的执法行动。此前，监管机构命令 Kalshi、Polymarket 和 Crypto.com 停止向田纳西州居民提供与体育相关的合约，并在 1 月 31 日前作废未平仓合约并退还客户存款。田纳西州官员最初还警告称，不遵守规定可能导致每次违规最高 2.5 万美元的罚款，并可能被移交给执法部门。Kalshi 反驳称，该争议是州博彩执法与联邦商品法之间的管辖权冲突。该公司在其联邦申诉中表示，田纳西州的举动侵犯了 CFTC 对指定交易所衍生品交易的“专属管辖权”，并辩称该州威胁采取的执法行动已被《商品交易法》优先占有。（The Block）

市场分析师艾拉·泽西表示，美国通胀并未实质性跃升带来的宽慰情绪，使得市场出现盲目乐观的情绪并推动债券收益率上升。整体 CPI 同比 2.7%的增幅意味着核心 PCE 年率将低于 2.5%，这为美联储采取更温和的立场扫清了道路。仍不认为 1 月降息已是定局，但这无疑使 3 月降息的可能性被正式纳入考量范围。(金十)

According to ChainCatcher, Arkham data reveals that at 21:30, a total of 2,552,800 Cake tokens were transferred from an anonymous address, beginning with 0xE863, to GSR Markets.

According to Odaily, market analyst Chris Anstey noted that after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the yield on the U.S. two-year Treasury bonds experienced a slight decline of approximately three basis points. While this change is not significant enough to prompt the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, it does present a favorable signal for the Fed.

交易员们加大了押注，认为美联储可能不会等到美联储主席鲍威尔任期于五月结束后再降息，因为此前美国劳工统计局报告称，基本消费者价格上涨幅度略低于预期。尽管交易员们仍认为，六月降息是最可能的结果，但根据最新数据预测，美联储 4 月降息的概率约为 42%，高于数据发布前的 38%。(金十)

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