据一位美国官员和一位知情人士透露，经过三周的战争，特朗普政府已经开始就下一阶段以及与伊朗和平谈判的可能形式进行初步讨论。美国总统特朗普周五表示，他正在考虑“逐步结束”战争，但美国官员表示，预计战斗还会持续两到三周。与此同时，特朗普的顾问们希望开始为外交斡旋做准备。消息人士透露，特朗普的特使库什纳和威特科夫正在参与有关潜在外交途径的讨论。任何结束战争的协议都必须包括重新开放霍尔木兹海峡、解决伊朗的高浓缩铀库存问题、并就伊朗的核计划、弹道导弹以及对该地区代理人的支持达成长期协议。另据其他消息人士透露，尽管埃及、卡塔尔和英国都曾为美伊传递信息，但近几日美伊之间并无直接接触。埃及和卡塔尔已告知美国和以色列，伊朗有意进行谈判，但条件非常强硬，伊朗的要求包括停火、保证未来不再发生战争以及赔偿。(Axios)

Coinglass 数据显示，过去 1 小时全网爆仓金额达 1.16 亿美元，其中多单爆仓 1.09 亿美元，空单爆仓 669 万美元，此外 BTC 爆仓金额达 4475 万美元，ETH 爆仓金额达 4202 万美元。

据链上分析师 Ai 姨监测，ResolvLabs 稳定币疑似发生漏洞，团队暂时还没有回应，某地址用 10 万枚 USDC 铸造出 5000 万枚 USR，使得 USR 短时暴跌至 0.257 美元，跌幅 74.2%，目前回升到了 0.7847 美元。

Analyst @ai_9684xtpa posted on X that a recent minting error involving 100,000 USDC resulted in the creation of 50 million USR, causing a significant disruption in the stablecoin market. The incident led to a dramatic drop in the value of USR, plummeting to $0.257, marking a 74.2% decrease. The price has since recovered to $0.7847. The Resolve team has yet to issue a response regarding the situation.

特朗普给出“48 小时最后通牒”后引发原油价格上涨，或受此影响，链上数据监测 Sky 联创 Rune 的 20 倍杠杆原油期货 CL（WTI 原油）多单与 7 倍杠杆 Brent Oil（布伦特原油）多单均已扭亏为盈，目前分别浮盈约 15.5 万美元和 13 万美元，此外其 7 倍杠杆纳指 100 空单和 20 倍杠杆标普 500 空单也都处于盈利状态，其整体仓位价值现已升至约 1155 万美元。

据市场消息：巴西财长部长透露，拟将加密货币税收政策搁置至该国 2026 年 10 月总统选举之后再做出决定。（Cointelegraph）

Hyperbot 数据显示，今晨加密市场下跌导致以太坊多单遭全部清算之后，麻吉大哥黄立成于 1 小时前再次开设 25 倍杠杆以太坊多单，现仓位持有 2200 枚 ETH，价值约合 462 万美元，入场价 2091 美元，清算价 2061 美元。

Brazil's Finance Minister, Dario Durigan, has decided to postpone the country's crypto tax policy discussions until after the presidential elections scheduled for October 2026. According to Cointelegraph, this move aims to avoid introducing potentially divisive tax changes during an election year. Initially, regulators and government officials planned a public consultation on the crypto tax policy for later this year, but sources familiar with the matter have indicated that this may be delayed until 2027, although it remains a priority.In June 2025, Brazil shifted from a no-tax policy on gains from smaller cryptocurrency sales or transfers to a 17.5% flat tax on crypto capital gains, including those from offshore and self-custodial holdings. Previously, residents selling up to 35,000 Brazilian real per month, approximately $6,587, were exempt from capital gains taxes, while those exceeding this threshold faced progressive tax rates ranging from 15% to 22.5%. In November 2025, Banco Central do Brasil, the country's central bank, issued rules treating stablecoin transfers as foreign currency exchange, subjecting them to the same tax laws.The Brazilian government is also considering proposals to tax cryptocurrencies used for international payments and is aligning its reporting rules with the Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF), an international standard for monitoring crypto transactions. The decision to pause the crypto tax consultation comes at a time when Brazil is experiencing rapid crypto adoption, with the industry growing significantly in the country. Brazil ranks fifth globally in terms of crypto adoption, according to Chainalysis's Global Adoption Index, and holds the top position in Latin America.Brazil's population exceeds 213 million, with a median age of 33.5 years, and over 91% of its citizens reside in urban areas, as reported by Worldometer. In 2025, Chainalysis noted a 63% increase in crypto adoption across Latin America, reflecting growth in both retail and institutional segments. This trend underscores the expanding influence of cryptocurrency in the region, as Brazil continues to be a key player in the global crypto landscape.

The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April stands at 6.2%, according to CME's "FedWatch" data. According to BlockBeats, the likelihood of maintaining the current interest rate is significantly higher, at 93.8%.

WeChat has officially launched the 'ClawBot' plugin, enabling integration with OpenClaw. According to Odaily, users can connect OpenClaw to WeChat by scanning a QR code or copying a command. Once connected, users can efficiently interact with their 'lobster' through WeChat chat. Additionally, Tencent's cloud-based shrimp Lighthouse, self-developed shrimp workbuddy, and local shrimp QClaw are now available.

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麦格理预测，美联储下一次动作将是加息，最有可能是明年上半年，即使届时沃什可能已经上位，但他毕竟只有一票......

一周即将过去，BTC仍在7万刀上方徘徊。时代巨变就在身边每天发生，多数人却依旧无视未来已来。

中东冲突进入第21天，市场在同一个交易日内经历了从升级到降级的剧烈反转。

Cursor被指基于Kimi K2.5引发争议，随后确认通过Fireworks AI合规授权。

负责元宇宙项目的Meta旗下部门Reality Labs，自2020年以来累计已录得约750亿美元的运营亏损，预计今年还将再亏损190亿美元。

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