Gold declined after the US and Iran exchanged strikes over the weekend, pushing energy prices higher and reviving expectations for interest-rate hikes to curb inflation, according to Bloomberg.

A Bitcoin whale transferred 2,931 BTC after being inactive for seven years, according to Onchain Lens monitoring. According to Odaily, the BTC had not moved since Bitcoin traded at around $6,500. The report said Bitcoin’s current price is above about $64,000, and the value of the same holdings is close to 10 times its earlier level.

The CME FedWatch tool put the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July at 62.1%. According to Jin10, the tool showed a 37.9% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike by July. For September, the CME FedWatch tool showed a 26.4% probability that the Federal Reserve would keep rates unchanged. It also showed a 51.8% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike by September and a 21.8% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike by September.

Oil prices rose more than 3% early Monday after Iran announced over the weekend that it had closed the Strait of Hormuz, and after the United States carried out two strikes on Iran early today, escalating tensions between the two countries. According to Jin10, WTI crude was up more than 3%, nearing $74 per barrel. Spot gold fell below $4,100, down nearly 0.8%, while spot silver dropped more than 2% to $58.65 per ounce. Nasdaq futures fell 0.4%. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) strengthened by more than 10 points, and 10-year U.S. Treasury futures fell 5 points.

According to CNBC, Rep. Nancy Mace and South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster are among the first names being discussed as potential candidates to fill the seat vacated by Sen. Lindsey Graham, who died suddenly over the weekend while seeking reelection. A person familiar with Mace’s thinking said she is strongly considering a run and would release polling on Monday. South Carolina law requires McMaster to hold a special primary election on Aug. 11 to replace Graham on the November ballot, with the filing period opening July 21; the governor also has authority to appoint someone to fill the current vacancy. President Donald Trump said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he has someone he likes to replace Graham but declined to name the person, while praising McMaster. Punchbowl News reported Rep. Joe Wilson is interested in an interim appointment and would run for a full term, though Wilson posted that his goal is to remain in the House. Rep. William Timmons said he had not ruled out running, and multiple outlets reported Rep. Ralph Norman is expected to explore a bid. Politico reported Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent was fielding calls encouraging him to run, and there has also been speculation that Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette could enter the race.

According to CNBC, Sen. Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., said he suffered a fall last month that left him briefly unconscious and resulted in a hospital stay, leading to a multi-week absence from the Senate after he was hospitalized on June 14. McConnell, 84, said doctors confirmed he did not break any bones or suffer a concussion, and that he did not have a heart attack, stroke, tumors or hemorrhages; he also said he had a mild case of pneumonia while hospitalized. He said he remains fit to serve but will not return to the Senate floor to vote yet on doctors’ advice, and noted he stepped down as Senate GOP leader at the start of this Congress, with Sen. John Thune, R-S.D., taking over. Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear had requested an update on McConnell’s health and fitness to serve, and McConnell said he plans to retire at the end of his term next year.

According to CNBC, U.S. stock futures edged lower Sunday night, with Dow Jones Industrial Average futures down 88 points, or 0.2%, S&P 500 futures off 0.2%, and Nasdaq-100 futures lower by 0.3%, as traders weighed escalating Middle East tensions and a heavy week of earnings. Iran and the U.S. traded airstrikes over the weekend, with Tehran saying it had closed the Strait of Hormuz, a claim President Donald Trump disputed on Sunday; Trump on Saturday ordered airstrikes against Iran after Iran attacked a commercial ship transiting the strait. In early trading, Brent futures rose 3% to $78.44 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate futures gained more than 3% to $73.92. Major banks including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo are among 28 S&P 500 companies set to report earnings this week, with results from Netflix, Johnson & Johnson and UnitedHealth also due; FactSet data showed analysts on average estimate second-quarter S&P 500 profits grew by more than 23% year over year. The June CPI report is due Tuesday morning.

U.S. 10-year Treasury futures fell 5 ticks, and federal funds futures slipped slightly. According to Jin10, the move showed a modest decline in federal funds futures alongside the drop in 10-year Treasury futures.

On Jul 12, 2026, 22:06 PM(UTC). According to Binance Market Data, Ethereum has dropped below 1,800 USDT and is now trading at 1,798.209961 USDT, with a narrowed 1.31% decrease in 24 hours.

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