Fidelity data show a 95% probability that the S&P 500 will rise in the 12 months after a U.S. midterm election, with an average return of about 14% since 1938. According to ChainCatcher, several institutions also found that the index rose in all 19 12-month periods following midterm elections since 1950, averaging about 15%; gains ranged from about 1% after the 1986 election to about 33% after the 1954 election. The index fell about 5% in the 12 months after the 1938 election and was roughly flat after the 1946 election. By comparison, the S&P 500’s average return in the second year of a presidential term, which coincides with a midterm election year, is about 5%. This year’s U.S. midterm elections will be held on November 3. The S&P 500 has risen more than 11% this year, while its largest drawdown has been about 9%—roughly half the average drawdown in midterm election years—and its performance has been stronger than historical norms. Fidelity says the pattern has not depended on which party won, but past performance does not guarantee future results.

The United States is exploring a new agreement with Russia to transport Russian natural gas to Europe through Ukraine, according to people familiar with the matter. According to ChainCatcher, U.S. negotiators believe gas sales could give Russian President Vladimir Putin an incentive to agree to an energy ceasefire with Ukraine.

A tanker sailing southeast in the Arabian Gulf was struck on its port side by two unidentified projectiles. According to Sina Finance, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said it received a report of an incident 72 nautical miles east of Ras Al Khafji, Saudi Arabia, and that all crew members had been accounted for.

China’s factory activity expanded last month but grew at a slower pace for the first time since July, a private survey showed, according to Bloomberg. The survey provided further evidence of resilience among the country’s export-oriented firms.

According to Jin10, gold ETFs saw large redemptions in October, and high interest rates may be undermining confidence in fund allocations. Market sentiment has not reached extreme panic, and a true macro bottom may emerge in the first quarter of 2027.

这次党中央《决定》决策的表述，打击的不是区块链技术，更不是合法合规场景下的区块链应用，而是利用虚拟货币、区块链实施腐败的行为。这个边界非常关键。

Galaxy Digital认为，加密攻击者不会去破解私钥密码学本身，而是去攻击那些调度密码学执行逻辑的人或系统。

Uber代币化货币市场基金试点中获得的1.5天收益，其意义不在于收益量本身，而在于它首次在真实企业资金流中展示了一种“收益与流动性不再互斥”的操作路径。

过去一年Hyperliquid收入结构实现显著多元化。三分之一营收来自第三方市场、流量合作方以及稳定币利息收入，降低了协议对自研上线加密永续合约业务的依赖。

华尔街正等待美国财政部自2024年初以来最大幅度的发行指引调整。市场预计财政部可能为2027年削减20年期和30年期美债发行铺路，同时增加短期国库券及中短期美债供给。

金色财经推出加密货币和区块链行业早报《金色早8点》3230期，为您提供最新、最快的数字货币和区块链行业新闻。

AI裁员正向全行业蔓延！高盛警告，被淘汰者正陷入“入职即入坑”的死循环：不仅再就业艰难，且75%会再次落入AI的替代射程。

Berachain 跌到峰值 1%：协议到底该去哪条链部署。

宇树科技,技术,融资,机器人估值先飞：资本开始重新算账 金色财经,机器人行业的两家明星企业，最近接连传来重要消息。

Binance,密码学,黑客攻击,签名有效不等于意图真实：从币安 63 亿美元事件看密码行业的下一步 金色财经,我们教会了机器怎么签，还没教会它为什么签。