港股 OpenClaw 概念股多数下跌，智谱(02513.HK)跌超 15%，MINIMAX-W(00100.HK)跌超 9%，金山云(03896.HK)、小米集团(01810.HK)跌超 3%，阿里巴巴(09988.HK)、美团(03690.HK)跌超 2%。(金十)

美国与伊朗冲突引发的霍尔木兹海峡危机已成为2026年全球经济面临的最大外部冲击之一。它不仅考验能源安全和供应链韧性，更重塑货币政策框架。

据 Onchain Lens 监测，巨鲸 pension-usdt.eth (0x0ddf...a902) 新开 2 万枚 ETH 的 3 倍杠杆空单，并将 3 倍杠杆 BTC 空单增至 750 枚，总价值达 9240 万美元。目前该地址浮盈超 160 万美元，总利润超 3200 万美元。

知名链上侦探 ZachXBT 再次发文炮轰 Circle 表示，Drift 黑客事件发生在美国交易时间，数百万 USDC 通过 CCTP（Circle 的跨链协议）从 Solana 转至以太坊，而 Circle 却在沉睡，没有任何行动。几天前，Circle 还曾随意地冻结了至少 16 个企业热钱包，这些钱包目前仍在缓慢解冻中。ZachXBT 最后表示：“Circle 就是这个行业的不良行为者。”

根据 SoSoValue 数据，昨日（美东时间 4 月 1 日）XRP 现货 ETF 单日总净流出 131.58 万美元。昨日仅 21Shares XRP ETF(TOXR) 净流出，单日净流出 131.58 万美元，目前历史总净流入达 -2518.38 万美元。截至发稿前，XRP 现货 ETF 总资产净值为 9.48 亿美元，XRP 净资产比率 1.14%，历史累计净流入已达 12.08 亿美元。

Chinese shipping stocks experienced a significant surge, with COSCO Shipping Energy leading the charge. According to Jin10, COSCO Shipping Energy hit the daily limit, while other companies such as Dajin Heavy Industry, Qinhuangdao Port, and COSCO Shipping Energy saw increases of over 5%. Additionally, China Merchants Energy Shipping and Air China Cargo also followed the upward trend.

According to Jin10, former Bank of Japan (BOJ) chief economist Toshitaka Sekine has indicated that the ongoing conflict in Iran is escalating inflation risks, providing a strong rationale for the BOJ to consider a rate hike as early as this month. In an interview on Wednesday, Sekine stated, "If the intention is to assess the situation, I believe action in April is feasible. By the end of April, we should at least know whether the impact of the Middle East situation is merely temporary." While experts continue to debate whether the geopolitical shock will lead to inflation or deflation for resource-scarce Japan, Sekine's comments suggest that the BOJ may have increased confidence in the necessity of a rate hike when setting policy on April 28. Having served at the BOJ for over 30 years, Sekine speculates that central bank officials may align with his view, as the minutes from the March policy meeting clearly show growing concern among committee members about inflation risks.

特朗普在白宫发表了罕见的黄金时段全国电视讲话。他试图安抚因战争导致金融市场动荡及政治支持率受挫的美国民众，宣称对伊战争已“非常接近”尾声。然而，随着特朗普暗示军事行动可能在短期内升级，国际现货金银价格一路狂泻，美、布两油持续拉升。截至发稿，现货黄金日内跌超 100 美元，现货白银跌超 3%，美、布两油均涨超 5%。此次演讲凸显了特朗普面临的巨大压力，即向公众明确战争目的，并为这场已进入第五周且愈发难以管控的冲突寻找“退出通道”。值得注意的是，此次演讲在某些方面更像是开战初期的动员，而非开战一月后的总结。目前，占全球海运石油五分之一的霍尔木兹海峡自战事爆发以来基本处于封锁状态，成为主要的经济痛点。尽管特朗普仍然坚称能源冲击将在战后缓解，但政府尚未明确将如何说服伊朗恢复该海峡的通航。(金十)

U.S. President Donald Trump delivered a rare prime-time national television address from the White House on Thursday, attempting to reassure the American public amid financial market volatility and declining political support due to the ongoing war. According to Jin10, Trump declared that the war in Iraq is 'very close' to ending. However, as he hinted at a possible short-term escalation of military actions, international spot gold and silver prices plummeted, while U.S. and Brent crude oil prices surged. At the time of reporting, spot gold had dropped over $100 within the day, spot silver fell more than 3%, and both U.S. and Brent crude oil rose over 5%. The speech highlighted the immense pressure Trump faces to clarify the war's objectives to the public and to find an 'exit strategy' for the conflict, which has entered its fifth week and is becoming increasingly difficult to manage. Notably, the address seemed more like a mobilization effort typical of the war's early days rather than a summary after a month of conflict. Since the outbreak of hostilities, the Strait of Hormuz, which accounts for one-fifth of the world's seaborne oil, has been largely blocked, posing a significant economic challenge. Although Trump continues to assert that the energy shock will ease post-war, the government has yet to outline how it plans to persuade Iran to reopen the strait to navigation.

3月份加密资产估值保持坚挺，在多数主要资产下跌的情况下仍实现小幅上涨。当前价位对长期投资者而言仍是具备吸引力的入场时机，但估值回升仍需地缘政治不确定性有所缓和。

U.S. President Donald Trump declared in a national address that the United States is no longer reliant on Middle East oil. According to NS3.AI, Trump emphasized that Iran would never be permitted to acquire nuclear weapons. He further claimed that the majority of Iran's leaders were deceased and that the country's navy and air force were no longer operational.

A suspected major service outage has been reported affecting Hyperliquid's HyperEVM, according to PeckShield. The incident has raised concerns among users and stakeholders about the stability and reliability of the platform. Further details on the cause and extent of the outage are yet to be disclosed.

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Elon Musk在一座废弃发电厂里开了一场发布会，宣布了一件AI行业没有人敢做的事：自己造芯片。

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AI中转站的故事，本质上是一个古老商业逻辑的AI时代翻版——当你不知道产品是什么的时候，你就是产品。

价值必须来源于功能完善的系统的程序化运行，而不是来自某人的承诺。

2026 年 3 月已过，市场普遍预期的香港首批合规稳定币发行人牌照并未如期落地。

所以无论是AI还是加密生态，隐私问题都是接下来必须要解决的问题。

油价、黄金与比特币未来如何走势？伊朗政权、全球能源与金融市场正迎来更大变局？