A CryptoQuant analyst has projected that Bitcoin might establish a bear-market 'iron bottom' within the $55,000–$60,000 range by the end of 2026. According to NS3.AI, this prediction is grounded in on-chain indicators, notably the MVRV Z-score, which has moderated but remains above negative levels.

得益于与几家主要科技公司的交易，市场对 CoreWeave 云基础设施公司的乐观情绪升温，该公司的垃圾债券上涨。截至纽约时间上午 9:05（北京时间 21:05），票面利率 9.75%、面值 100 美分的债券升至的 101.88 美分。在银团销售过程中，该债券的规模从最初计划的 12.5 亿美元有所扩大。数据显示，同日发行的另一笔规模扩大至 35 亿美元的可转换债券尚未开始交易。此次融资是该公司的最新一次，发生在 CoreWeave 宣布与 Meta Platforms 达成供应人工智能计算产品的新协议数小时后。周五，Anthropic 同意租用 CoreWeave 的数据中心容量，以应对其 AI 服务日益增长的需求。CoreWeave 盘中最高涨逾 6%。(金十)

据 Arkham 监测，大约 1 小时前，灰度向 Coinbase Prime 转入 1327 枚 ETH 和约 406.187 枚 BTC，总价值超 380 万美元。

CoreWeave's junk bonds experienced a rise in value due to increased market optimism following transactions with several major technology companies. According to Jin10, as of 9:05 AM New York time (21:05 UTC+8), the bonds, which have a coupon rate of 9.75% and a face value of 100 cents, increased to 101.88 cents. During the syndication process, the bond's size was expanded from the initially planned $1.25 billion. Data shows that another convertible bond issued on the same day, which was also increased to $3.5 billion, has yet to begin trading. This financing round is the latest for CoreWeave and occurred just hours after the company announced a new agreement with Meta Platforms to supply AI computing products. On Friday, Anthropic agreed to lease CoreWeave's data center capacity to meet the growing demand for its AI services. CoreWeave's stock rose more than 6% during intraday trading.

香港金管局表示，在首批申请中未获发牌照的机构，或在未来提出申请的其他机构，会与他们保持沟通和交流，按相关法例和划一的监管标准及要求审视这些申请。对于日后增发牌照和时间性，持开放而谨慎的态度，现阶段未有明确倾向。

Key TakeawaysFederal Reserve expected to hold rates in April (98.4% probability).Only 1.6% chance of a rate hike next meeting.June outlook: 96.8% probability of no change.Markets pricing “higher-for-longer” policy stance despite inflation data.Markets Fully Price in April Rate PauseAccording to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets overwhelmingly expect the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged in April, with probabilities holding steady at 98.4% even after the latest CPI release.The likelihood of a 25 basis point hike stands at just 1.6%, indicating minimal expectation of further tightening in the near term.June Outlook Also Signals Policy StabilityExpectations for June remain similarly stable:96.8% probability of no rate change1.5% probability of a 25 bps rate cut1.7% probability of a rate hikeThis suggests markets see limited policy movement over the next two meetings, despite ongoing inflation concerns.CPI Data Fails to Shift Rate ExpectationsEven with March CPI showing a sharp increase driven by energy prices, rate expectations remain largely unchanged.This reflects market belief that:Inflation spike is energy-driven and potentially temporaryCore inflation remains relatively containedThe Fed is unlikely to react immediately to short-term volatilityHigher-for-Longer Narrative StrengthensThe data reinforces a “higher-for-longer” interest rate environment:No imminent rate cuts priced inLimited probability of further hikesPolicy expected to remain restrictive but stableMarket ImplicationsFor financial markets:Dollar and yields remain supportedRisk assets (crypto, equities) face macro headwindsLiquidity conditions stay relatively tightThe Fed is now firmly in a wait-and-see mode, with policy decisions likely to depend on:Future inflation trends (especially core CPI)Energy price stabilityBroader economic growth dataUnless inflation broadens beyond energy, markets expect the Fed to hold rates steady through at least mid-2026.

链上分析平台 CryptoQuant 分析师指出，比特币下一轮熊市尚未完全触底，预计“铁底（iron bottom）”或将在 2026 年 12 月前后出现，价格区间为 55,000 至 60,000 美元。本轮周期或需经历一次 “最终出清”，方能完成底部构建。分析基于 MVRV Z-score 等多项链上指标：当前该指标虽已降温，但尚未进入负值（低估）区间；而历史上每一轮熊市 “铁底” 均伴随该指标跌破零轴，意味着市场尚未进入极度悲观阶段。按历史规律推演，市场或在 2026 年底触底后进入约两年积累期，叠加 2028 年比特币减半周期，下一轮牛市高点或出现在 2029 年下半年。

On April 10, the Iranian Armed Forces announced that they remain on high alert, ready to engage if necessary. According to BlockBeats, a spokesperson from the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters stated that this stance is due to repeated breaches of trust by the United States and Israel. The statement underscores ongoing tensions in the region, highlighting Iran's preparedness to respond to perceived threats.

The U.S. factory orders for February showed no change, according to recent data. According to Jin10, the orders remained flat at 0%, surpassing the anticipated decline of 0.2%. The previous month's figure was revised from an initial 0.10% to 0%.

U.S. factory orders excluding transportation increased by 1.2% in February, surpassing expectations of a 0.4% rise. According to Jin10, the previous value was revised from 0.40% to 0.5%.

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在应用场景和发展路向方面，余伟文表示，鼓励发行人探索并拓展实体经济相关应用，包括跨境支付、本地支付、代币化资产交易、创新应用等

AI 正在催生出一类新的创业公司：它们不需要很大的初始团队，不需要很重的固定成本，也不一定需要持续依赖多轮融资。

对于香港而言，这一轮稳定币牌照的落地，不仅是对既有虚拟资产框架的延伸，更是在支付与结算层面的一次关键布局。

香港已根据其新的监管框架颁发了首批稳定币发行牌照，获批机构包括汇丰银行香港分行以及由Anchorpoint Financial牵头的、与渣打银行有关联的财团。

埃隆·马斯克旗下的人工智能公司xAI已对科罗拉多州提起诉讼，称针对算法歧视的新规可能限制言论自由，并迫使其聊天机器人Grok必须符合该州规定的公平与公正标准。