Following the agreement between the US and Iran on a two-week ceasefire, Bloomberg posted on X that an executive from an Abu Dhabi fund immediately booked a flight back to the Emirati capital. Another executive has announced plans to return over the weekend. This development comes as tensions ease between the two nations, allowing for increased movement and business activities in the region.

你不需要更多时间。你需要保护你最好的时间，用来做只有你能做的事。

U.S. airline stocks experienced a notable increase, with United Airlines and Delta Airlines leading the charge. According to Jin10, United Airlines saw its stock rise by 13%, while Delta Airlines reported an 11% increase. This upward trend reflects positive investor sentiment in the airline sector, driven by factors such as improved travel demand and favorable market conditions. The gains in these major airlines highlight a broader recovery in the industry, as companies continue to adapt to changing consumer behaviors and economic dynamics.

The French CAC40 index experienced a significant increase of 5% in daily trading, reaching 8,304.55 points. According to ChainCatcher, this surge marks a notable movement in the market. The rise in the index reflects a positive trend in the French stock market.

根据 msx.com 数据，美股开盘，道指涨 2.86%，标普 500 指数涨 2.62%，纳指涨 3.61%。加密板块全线大涨，其中 SharpLink 上涨 10.10%，Strategy (MSTR) 上涨 8.45%，Bitmine 上涨 8.13%，Coinbase 上涨 7.56%，Circle 上涨 7.42%，Solana 上涨 2.73%。据悉，msx.com 是一个去中心化 RWA 交易平台，累计已上线数百种 RWA 代币，涵盖 AAPL、AMZN、GOOGL、META、MSFT、NFLX、NVDA 等美股及 ETF 代币标的。

Key TakeawaysBitcoin trades around $72,000+, rebounding above key resistance.Over 844,000 BTC accumulated between $60K–$70K since January.$60K–$70K zone now holds 1.85M BTC (~9.2% of supply), acting as strong support.Thin supply between $70K–$80K (~400K BTC) suggests potential for faster price moves.Bitcoin Reclaims $72K as Dip Buyers Step InBitcoin has recovered above $72,000, following weeks of consolidation below $70,000, as on-chain data shows strong accumulation during the recent dip.The move higher comes after heavy trading activity in the $60,000–$70,000 range, signaling sustained demand despite macro and geopolitical uncertainty.Massive Accumulation Builds Strong Support ZoneAccording to Glassnode, the amount of Bitcoin last moved between $60,000 and $70,000 has surged to 1.85 million BTC, up from 1.0 million BTC at the start of the year.This increase of over 844,000 BTC indicates aggressive dip buying.The range now represents approximately 9.23% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply, suggesting that many investors have established cost bases in this zone, making it a key support level.$70K Emerges as Key Market PivotThe $70,000 level now holds around 2.2% of total supply, ranking as one of the largest concentration zones on-chain.This reinforces its role as a psychological and structural pivot point for the market.Supply Gap Above $70K May Accelerate Price MovesIn contrast, the supply between $70,000 and $80,000 remains relatively thin, with only ~400,000 BTC transacted in that range.This “air gap” suggests:Less resistance to upward price movementPotential for faster rallies if demand continuesAlternatively, sharp pullbacks if momentum fadesMarket Context: Resilience Amid Macro PressureBitcoin’s rebound above $72,000 comes amid easing geopolitical tensions and continued institutional support.Despite volatility driven by the Iran conflict and rising oil prices, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience compared to traditional risk assets.Strong Support Below, Volatility AboveThe data points to a clear structure:$60K–$70K: Strong accumulation zone and support$70K–$80K: Low supply, higher volatility potentialAs long as demand holds, Bitcoin may continue to build momentum above $70,000. However, the thin supply zone also increases the likelihood of sharp moves in either direction.For now, the market appears supported from below, with price action increasingly dependent on whether buyers can sustain momentum above current levels.

据 Gate 最新数据，黄金价格上涨至 4,797.46 美元/盎司，日内涨幅达 1.95%。白银价格涨至 77.110 美元/盎司，日内涨幅达 5.76%。BVIX（BTC 波动率指数）最新报价 44.90，日内跌幅为 6.89%。EVIX（ETH 波动率指数 ） 最新报价 66.54，日内跌幅为 2.66%。外汇方面，美元兑离岸人民币（USD/CNH）日内下跌 0.45%，当前汇率为 6.82332。美元兑日元（USD/JPY）日内下跌 1.02%，当前汇率为 157.985。全球股指方面，欧洲 50 指数（EUSTX50）日内上涨 4.09%，报 5,941.30 点；英国富时 100 指数（UK100）日内上涨 2.48%，报 10,677.73 点；德国 DAX40 指数（GER40）日内上涨 3.95%，报 24,151.35 点。大宗商品方面，WTI 原油日内下跌 16.62%，报 92.81 美元/桶。布伦特原油日内下跌 13.65%，报 93.93 美元/桶。Gate 支持用户在平台内直接交易传统金融市场产品，一站式覆盖贵金属、外汇、全球股票差价合约（CFD）、重要指数及大宗商品等多类资产，实现加密资产与传统金融资产的深度融合。Gate TradFi 相关功能已全面集成至 Gate App 及 Web 端，用户无需切换平台，即可便捷参与全球资产价格交易，在加密市场之外解锁更多策略与机会，持续提升多元资产配置体验。

Digital asset investment products experienced net weekly inflows totaling $224 million, according to CoinShares. Bitcoin was a significant contributor, attracting $107.3 million. According to NS3.AI, the week also saw minor outflows influenced by stronger retail sales data, hawkish investor expectations, and mixed geopolitical signals.

Key TakeawaysMorgan Stanley launches MSBT spot Bitcoin ETF with 0.14% fee, lowest in market.BlackRock IBIT remains leader with ~$55B AUM and highest liquidity.MSBT leverages $7 trillion wealth management network to drive flows.Move signals growing fee competition and distribution-driven ETF market shift.Morgan Stanley Enters Bitcoin ETF Market With Low-Cost OfferingMorgan Stanley has launched its spot Bitcoin ETF, trading under the ticker MSBT, marking one of the most significant new entrants into the crypto ETF market.The fund debuts with a 0.14% expense ratio, undercutting the 0.25% fee charged by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), currently the dominant product in the sector.IBIT Remains Market Leader in Liquidity and ScaleDespite the new competition, IBIT continues to lead across key metrics:~$55 billion in assets under managementHighest trading volume among Bitcoin ETFsDeep options market liquidityThis liquidity advantage has made IBIT the preferred vehicle for active traders and institutional positioning.Distribution Power May Shift ETF FlowsMorgan Stanley’s competitive edge lies in its distribution network.With access to $7 trillion in client assets through its wealth management arm, the bank can direct capital toward MSBT via financial advisors, potentially reshaping inflow dynamics.In contrast to IBIT’s strength in trading liquidity, MSBT is positioned to capture flows through advisory-driven allocations.Fee Compression Signals Market MaturityThe launch highlights a broader trend toward fee competition in the Bitcoin ETF market.As more established financial institutions enter the space:Cost sensitivity among investors is increasingFee differentials are becoming a key differentiatorCompetition is shifting from trust and scale to pricing and accessMarket Structure Splits Between Liquidity and DistributionThe Bitcoin ETF market is increasingly bifurcated:IBIT: Dominates liquidity, trading, and derivatives activityMSBT: Competes on cost and distribution reachThis dynamic reflects a maturing market where investor preferences differ between active trading and long-term allocation channels.First Real Challenge to IBIT’s DominanceMorgan Stanley’s entry represents the most credible challenge yet to IBIT’s market leadership.While IBIT’s liquidity advantage is unlikely to be displaced in the near term, MSBT’s lower fees and distribution strength could gradually shift inflows.The key question going forward is whether:Advisors begin reallocating client capital into MSBTFee competition accelerates across issuersIBIT’s dominance in inflows begins to erodeFor now, the launch marks a new phase of competition in Bitcoin ETFs, where pricing and distribution may become as important as scale and liquidity.

Blockstream 首席执行官 Adam Back 在接受 Bloomberg 采访时表示，量子计算机目前尚未对比特币网络构成实际威胁，但行业应立即着手准备。他指出，当前硬件普遍不具备纠错能力，量子风险属于长期挑战而非近期危机。Adam Back 强调，核心问题不在于就量子计算机何时具备足够威胁能力达成共识，而在于为比特币持有者提供约十年的时间窗口，将密钥迁移至抗量子格式。他表示，目前已有一个 20 人的研究团队持续开展相关工作，发表论文并进行实际部署，Blockstream 旗下 Liquid 网络已作为早期测试平台投入使用。此外，后量子密码学已从理论阶段进入实施阶段，NIST 于 2024 年底完成相关标准的最终确定。行业面临的主要挑战在于如何在风险变得紧迫之前，协调完成一次有序的迁移。

CoinDesk 20 experienced a 4.7% rise, reaching 2,027.7, marking an increase of 91.47 points since 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday. According to NS3.AI, all 20 assets showed positive movement, with Internet Computer leading the gains at 12.1%, followed by NEAR Protocol at 8.9%.

Coinbase 正式将 x402 协议贡献给 Linux 基金会，使其成为一项中立的互联网标准。

漂移案暴露了稳定币法律的空白：Circle拥有冻结资金的能力，却无强制义务，且在执行冻结时缺乏“避风港”法律保护。

Ray Dalio,Ray Dalio 新文：世界正在进入战争周期 金色财经,我们正处在一场短期不会结束的世界大战中。

《金钱自由》不仅是一次个人复盘，更是一场关于时代、技术与权力边界的真实记录。

投资的世界里，有时候最「疯魔」的逻辑，背后可能是最冷静的算计。

随着该地区冲突加剧，伊朗的比特币算力在过去一个季度暴跌77%，但全球网络仍基本保持完好——这凸显了一个关键事实：比特币的算力更多是由市场经济而非战争所决定的。

埃隆·马斯克已对针对OpenAI的诉讼进行了修改，要求罢免首席执行官山姆·阿尔特曼和总裁格雷格·布罗克曼，并希望任何赔偿金都归该公司旗下的慈善机构所有。

瑞银（UBS）与一家由瑞士主要贷款机构组成的财团即将启动一个2026年沙盒项目，用于测试一种瑞士法郎稳定币，这标志着各方正协同努力，将基于区块链的支付引入传统金融的核心领域。

这是一份关于预测市场杠杆机制的概览报告，涵盖了当前正在构建的模型、运作方式以及存在的缺陷。