据 DefiLlama 数据，链上永续合约（Perp）交易自 2025 年 10 月见顶后已连续 5 个月回落，2026 年 3 月 Perp DEX 交易量降至 6990 亿美元，较去年 10 月的 1.36 万亿美元峰值明显下滑。此外，日度数据亦显示活跃度走弱，4 月 4 日单日交易量降至 84 亿美元，为 2025 年 9 月以来首次跌破 100 亿美元，同时创下自 2025 年 7 月以来新低，反映杠杆交易与投机需求持续降温。此外，当前 Perp DEX 交易量仍高度集中于头部平台，过去 30 天 Hyperliquid 录得约 1855 亿美元交易量，占前十大平台总量约 34%。（Cointelegraph）

1. 伊朗称美国15点计划“野心极大且不合逻辑”；2. Santiment：BTC盈亏交易比达2.95，为短期价格顶部信号；3. 现货黄金站上4700美元/盎司；4. 巨鲸yeti.hl向HyperLiquid存入219万枚USDC并买入5.88万枚HYPE；5. BIT：以太坊看涨期权卖压上升，波动率持续下行；6. 鲸鱼“先定10个大目标”持有价值1.56亿美元BTC多单，现浮盈552万美元；7. 伊朗高级官员：伊朗不会以“临时停火”为交换条件重新开放霍尔木兹海峡；8. Circle过去7天在Solana铸造约32.5亿枚USDC，创2026年最大单周稳定币铸造量；9. 分析师：重申Strategy MSTR买入评级，2026年目标价440美元；10. 日本央行释放微妙信号，避免在4月会议前承诺加息。

On April 6, OpenAI announced a status update regarding the restoration of its /v1/responses API interface. According to BlockBeats, the service had experienced an outage earlier that day. The disruption occurred around 18:07 UTC+8, affecting the functionality of the API. OpenAI initiated an investigation and reported at 18:23 that the issue was largely mitigated and entered a monitoring phase. By 18:39, OpenAI confirmed that all affected components were fully restored, marking the resolution of the incident.

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队公共关系部发表声明说，伊朗发动“真实承诺-4”行动第 98 波攻势。声明称，伊斯兰革命卫队海军使用巡航导弹打击了属于“犹太复国主义政权”的集装箱船 SDN7，该船被摧毁后发生大面积起火，还使用导弹打击了特拉维夫北部和南部、海法的战略中心、贝尔谢巴的化工企业与工厂，以及巴特赫费尔的军队驻地。声明还表示，搭载逾 5000 名水兵和海军陆战队员的美国军方两栖攻击舰 LHA7 也遭到导弹打击，在此次攻势后被迫撤退至印度洋南部深海区域。声明还称，阿联酋与以色列联合无人机生产中心，以及驻扎在阿里·萨利姆基地的多架飞机，均遭到无人机和导弹打击。(金十)

Israeli Defense Minister Katz has announced that he has instructed the military to persist with comprehensive strikes targeting Iran's national infrastructure. According to NS3.AI, Katz characterized the operation as an ongoing all-out campaign.

Key TakeawaysCrypto market cap rises $70B (+2.5%) as Donald Trump signals possible Iran deal.Bitcoin climbs toward $70,000, with over $250M–$270M in short liquidations.Oil remains elevated near $112, keeping inflation risks in focus.Derivatives show rising open interest, but options markets remain cautious.Crypto Markets Rally on Ceasefire HopesBitcoin and the broader crypto market moved higher after mixed signals from Donald Trump regarding a potential Iran deal and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.Total crypto market capitalization increased by approximately $70 billion, reaching $2.44 trillion, while Bitcoin climbed to around $69,500–$70,000.The rally coincided with reports of potential ceasefire talks, including a proposed 45-day truce, boosting short-term risk appetite across global markets.Short Liquidations Drive Price ActionThe move higher triggered significant liquidations in derivatives markets.Data shows more than $250 million to $270 million in liquidations, with around 70%+ coming from short positions, indicating a short squeeze contributed to the rally.This suggests the upward move was partly driven by forced position closures rather than purely new demand.Mixed Signals Keep Markets CautiousDespite bullish price action, markets remain sensitive to conflicting geopolitical signals.Trump issued strong warnings to Iran over reopening the Strait of Hormuz while simultaneously indicating negotiations are underway and a deal could be reached within days.This combination of escalation and de-escalation narratives has created a highly reactive, headline-driven market environment. Oil Prices Remain a Key Macro RiskCrude oil remains elevated near $112 per barrel, reflecting ongoing supply concerns.Sustained high energy prices could push inflation higher, with estimates suggesting U.S. CPI could rise toward 3.7% if current levels persist.Higher inflation may delay Federal Reserve rate cuts, potentially limiting upside for risk assets, including crypto.Derivatives Data Shows Mixed ConvictionFutures markets show signs of renewed participation.Bitcoin and Ethereum open interest increased by 7% and 11%, respectively, with positive funding rates indicating traders are opening long positions.However, options markets remain defensive. On Deribit, demand for put options continues to exceed calls, reflecting ongoing hedging activity.Key levels to watch include $60,000 (downside) and $80,000 (upside), where large options positions are concentrated.Altcoins Outperform, Led by AlgorandAltcoins outpaced Bitcoin during the rally.Algorand (ALGO) surged nearly 50% over the past month, supported by increased visibility following research from Google Quantum AI highlighting its quantum-resistant technology.Other altcoins also saw gains, reflecting improved market breadth during the rebound.Rally Depends on Geopolitical ResolutionThe crypto market remains highly dependent on geopolitical developments.If a ceasefire is confirmed and oil prices decline, risk assets could extend gains. However, continued uncertainty or escalation may reverse momentum.For now, the rally appears partly liquidation-driven and headline-sensitive, with sustained upside requiring clearer macro stabilization and stronger spot demand.

以色列国防部长卡茨：已指示以色列军方继续全力打击伊朗的“国家基础设施”。(金十)

The World Food Price Index experienced a 2.4% increase in March, reaching 128.5 points, driven by surging energy costs. According to NS3.AI, the rise in freight costs and disruptions in the flow of grains and fertilizers through the Strait of Hormuz were significant contributors to this increase. The index monitors global prices for grains, sugar, meat, dairy, and vegetable oils. Meanwhile, discussions are underway between the US, Iran, and regional mediators regarding a potential 45-day ceasefire, which could pave the way for a permanent resolution to the ongoing conflict.

Federal prosecutors have charged Jonathan Spalletta in connection with the alleged theft of approximately $53.3 million from Uranium Finance. According to NS3.AI, the charges also include allegations of laundering the stolen funds through Tornado Cash. The case originates from two smart contract exploits in 2021, one of which affected 26 liquidity pools and resulted in the shutdown of Uranium Finance. Spalletta could face a maximum sentence of 10 years for computer fraud and up to 20 years for money laundering.

According to NS3.AI, analyst Ali Martinez has indicated that Ethereum must surpass the $2,500 mark to confirm a bullish reversal. Martinez highlighted that the $1,800 level serves as a potentially strong support zone, being near the MVRV-based level of approximately $1,880.

随着美国总统唐纳德·特朗普就霍尔木兹海峡问题对伊朗发出严厉威胁，警告若该水道不重新开放将面临严重后果，同时暗示停火协议可能即将达成，加密货币市场随之大幅上涨。

QuickSwap 的 Discord 服务器遭到未经授权方的入侵。已提醒用户避免访问该服务器，但资金依然安全。

今日金融圈最“炸”的一份材料，来自一篇关于霍尔木兹海峡的一线实地报告。

在接到北京方面的指令后，苹果已将其应用商店（中国区）下架了杰克·多尔西（Jack Dorsey）开发的去中心化即时通讯应用Bitchat，这凸显了抗审查技术与国家控制的数字生态系统之间日益加剧的摩擦。

迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）在X平台上的最新帖子暗示，MicroStrategy在短暂停顿后将重启比特币购买。该公司或将利用近期通过优先股筹集的资金，再购入至少1,500枚比特币。

预测市场绝非币圈新赌场，而是填补金融史400年空白的“事件资产”定价引擎：一文看透它将如何重塑下一个十年的财富逻辑

Gemini 偏袒创始人利益及依赖关联方资金的运作模式已在二级市场崩盘，正面临严峻的治理与信任危机。

石油,金融体系,中东,油价正逼近临界点——4月中旬会发生什么？ 金色财经,时间成为决定因素，石油市场走向三种路径。

对马斯克而言，将 X 打造成“超级应用”的多年愿景，正进入加速落地的关键阶段。

随着五角大楼的限制措施以及军事人工智能部署的未来问题导致与特朗普政府之间的紧张局势升级，人工智能公司Anthropic已成立了一个由员工出资的政治行动委员会——AnthroPAC。