According to PANews, Matrixport's weekly report indicates that the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting results largely met market expectations, yet the dot plot failed to provide clear guidance on future policy paths, increasing uncertainty about the pace of upcoming changes. Despite this, the impact of these uncertainties on current asset prices remains relatively limited. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's cautious stance, coupled with early signs of a weakening labor market, suggests a shift in the macroeconomic environment compared to earlier this year.
The report highlights that Bitcoin has, for the first time in this bull market, fallen below a key long-term trend level, with its movement resembling patterns seen around previous midterm elections. Although discussions about the Federal Reserve potentially resuming balance sheet expansion have intensified, overall liquidity in the crypto market remains tight, and retail trading activity has yet to show significant recovery. Political factors may also not be fully reflected in market sentiment and trading behavior.
Amid these intertwined factors, the market is transitioning from a single trend scenario to a more complex structure. During this phase, the importance of position management and risk control is notably heightened. The report maintains its previous assessment that, even if the current market conditions are not defined as a bear market, there is a significant probability that the consolidation phase will continue.
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