Federal Reserve's Rate Cut and Treasury Purchases Impact Crypto Market

According to Odaily, analyst Adam from Greeks.live reports that the Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and resume a $40 billion monthly purchase of short-term Treasury bills is expected to improve financial system liquidity, benefiting the market. However, Adam cautions that with the Christmas holidays and year-end settlements approaching, the crypto market typically experiences low liquidity and activity during this period, making it premature to anticipate a bull market resurgence. Options data indicates high concentration in BTC and ETH positions by the end of December, with BTC's maximum pain point at $100,000 and ETH's at $3,200. Meanwhile, the implied volatility for major expiration dates this month has been declining, reflecting a reduced expectation of short-term market fluctuations. Adam also notes that the skew has remained negative this month, meaning that put options are priced higher than call options at the same Delta. This is due to the dominance of covered call strategies in a stable market, which suppresses call pricing, and the recent market weakness leading more traders to hedge against downside risks with puts. Overall, the current sentiment in the crypto market is weak, with poor liquidity expected at year-end. The prevailing view in the options market suggests a 'slow decline,' though there is a need to remain cautious of any sudden positive developments that could lead to a short-term reversal, despite the low probability.