U.S. Economic Data and Fed Rate Decision to Influence Market Sentiment

According to PANews, Wall Street's recent volatility has subsided as investors return to betting on low volatility and high confidence in risk assets. This shift comes amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next week, supported by U.S. economic data such as the ADP employment report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. The Federal Reserve's rate decision will be the focal point next week, following recent weak U.S. employment data, with the market widely anticipating a rate cut. Key events to watch in the upcoming week include: On Tuesday at 00:00 UTC+8, the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation for November will be released. Later that day, at 23:00 UTC+8, the U.S. October Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) will be published. On Wednesday at 03:00 UTC+8, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its rate decision and economic projections, followed by a monetary policy press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at 03:30 UTC+8. On Thursday at 21:30 UTC+8, data on initial jobless claims for the week ending December 6 and the U.S. September trade balance will be released. On Friday at 01:00 UTC+8, the Federal Reserve will publish data on U.S. household financial health from the third quarter of 2025. Later, at 21:00 UTC+8, Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, a 2026 FOMC voting member, will speak on the economic outlook, followed by Cleveland Fed President Harker at 21:30 UTC+8. At 23:35 UTC+8, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will participate in a dialogue at the 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium hosted by the Chicago Fed. The Federal Reserve's September dot plot suggested two rate cuts in 2026. In contrast, the current market expectation is for 63 basis points of easing, indicating a higher likelihood of three rate cuts next year.