According to Cointelegraph, Ether (ETH) experienced a significant 20.7% correction over the week from January 6 to January 13, reaching a low of $2,924 and resulting in $395 million in leveraged long ETH liquidations. This downturn has dampened bullish sentiment, yet Ether derivatives indicate strong interest from both retail and institutional investors. In neutral markets, the ETH monthly futures premium typically trades 5%–10% above regular spot prices, reflecting the extended settlement period. Despite the recent drop below $3,000, this indicator remained above the threshold, signaling optimism from whales and market makers.
Ether has posted a 42.7% gain in 2024, but trader sentiment remains subdued as the asset failed to reach a new all-time high, peaking at $4,105 on December 16. Additionally, its main competitors, Solana (SOL) and BNB (BNB), have outperformed ETH by 2% year-to-date in 2025, contributing to retail traders’ apathy. The Ether perpetual futures funding rate held steady at 0.6% per month, slightly below the 0.9% recorded two weeks earlier but still within the neutral 0.5%–1.5% range. Bearish sentiment would typically drive this indicator below zero, where short sellers would incur funding costs.
ETH faces resistance at $3,200, delaying confidence in a sustained rally. The derivatives markets show limited bearish pressure at the $3,000 level. However, the failure to reclaim $3,200 on January 14 highlights potential delays in achieving a sustained rally toward $3,600. Significant obstacles must be cleared before investors gain confidence in a long-term recovery. Ethereum network transaction fees, averaging $2.70, remain high compared to competitors like Solana and BNB. Critics argue that many Ethereum layer-2 solutions lack fairness, decentralization, and "value accrual" to ETH itself, as the companies managing these networks often capture value for their own benefit.
Concerns about layer-2 security have also been raised, with some strategists highlighting that layer-2 transactions do not share the same security as Ethereum’s base layer. Ethereum network fees, including validator tips, declined 28% week-over-week, while Solana’s fees and tips rose by 22% over the same period. Despite these challenges, Ethereum remains the leading platform for decentralized applications (DApps), with $64.5 billion in total value locked (TVL). In comparison, Solana holds $8.6 billion, and Ethereum’s layer-2 ecosystem contributes $10.2 billion to the overall TVL, reflecting its growing significance within the network. Ultimately, Ether’s ability to reach $3,600 or higher hinges on the progress of Ethereum’s roadmap, as many decentralized finance (DeFi) users opt for more centralized systems in exchange for lower fees, undercutting Ethereum’s decentralized ethos.
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