Bitcoin's Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator Signals Early Bull Market

Bitcoin's bull-bear cycle indicator has signaled an 'early bull market' for the first time since March 2023, according to ChainCatcher. Historically, this signal has indicated the end of the worst adjustment phases and the beginning of market recovery, as seen in 2019 and early 2023. However, an exception occurred in March 2022 when the indicator entered the early bull market zone but was followed by a price rejection, marking a local top rather than a new bull market. As of May 2026, analysts suggest that Bitcoin no longer behaves as a deep bear market asset, with the recovery of the 30-day moving average indicating improving market momentum. Despite this, several other market indicators show signs of weakness, making the current signal less definitive than classic early cycle confirmations. Analysts lean towards the possibility of a local top rather than the start of a new bull market, unless subsequent price movements strongly confirm this trend.