Bitcoin Buying System: $64,000. The lower the rating, the more I buy.

Written by: Jake Pahor

Translated by: Deep Tide TechFlow

Introduction: Australian trader Jake Pahor publicly revealed his true holdings: 100% Bitcoin, zero altcoins. This isn't a matter of faith, but rather the choice of an ordinary person with a full-time job and family to support after suffering heavy losses in the last cycle—complex strategies require time, and Bitcoin outperformed almost all the altcoins he held in the previous cycle. He uses the CSH scoring system for dynamic dollar-cost averaging, buying more as the score decreases, and his exit strategy is also fixed in his plan. The value of this system isn't in copying others' strategies, but in showing you clearly: only the rules you've written down beforehand can withstand market sentiment at 11 pm.

Every SMSF (Self-Managed Superannuation Fund) consultation ends with the same result.

We've finished the paperwork. Trust deed, bank accounts, escrow, audit records. Everything that keeps things from getting complicated. Then there's a brief pause, and I know exactly what's going to happen next. "So, should I buy now? Should I wait? What should I buy?" I can't answer. Not because I don't want to. I can't. The person asking might be 42 with twenty years left, or 68 with only three. They might sleep soundly through a 30% drawdown, or they might collapse at a 10% drop. No one can answer that question for someone else; anyone who gives an answer is just guessing. But hundreds of people have asked me this question already, which is why Tom and I created CSH. So this week I'm going to give the only honest answer: how my own money works, and the system that drives it. Not for you to copy. It lets you see what a system looks like, and then build your own. All the content below runs on the free version of the app. CSH Risk Dashboard CSH Score: 25.6/100 — Early Cycle (Stable, +0.7 this week). In the bottom 22% of all readings since 2011, and has remained in the 20-30 range for 52 consecutive days. Key Indicators: BTC: $64,492 / AUD 91,717 (7-day: essentially unchanged) BTC Dominance: 59.2% ETH/BTC: 0.029 TOTAL3/BTC (Altcoins denominated in Bitcoin): 0.37 — Previous cycles bottomed around 0.25 Fear & Greed Index: 26 - Fear Total Market Cap: $2.27 trillion Review: Last time I said three things had to happen before this bear market ended, and none of them happened. A week has passed, and it's still 0 to 3. The only noteworthy change: BTC climbed back above the 200-week moving average (around $63,300). A necessary condition, but far from sufficient. Jake's interpretation: Two weeks of sideways trading between approximately $62,000 and $66,000, with the rating hovering around 20 points. The market was boring, the macro environment was noisy. My plan remains unchanged this week; this is the plan. [Image: CSH Risk Score Dashboard, score 25.6/100, in the early stage of a cycle, having remained in the 20-30 range for 52 consecutive days.] Source: Crypto Super Hub

How I Invest My Money

No headline this week. The question above is more important than any news cycle, so here's my answer: three rules.

Rule 1: Benchmark against two benchmarks. I track my portfolio using two dimensions: the US dollar and Bitcoin. The second number keeps me grounded. If your altcoin doubles while Bitcoin triples, you're actually losing money. You just don't notice because you're only looking at the dollar figure. Fifteen years later, BTC is still the benchmark for the entire asset class. If I'm going to hold something else, it's because I genuinely believe it will outperform Bitcoin. Otherwise, why hold it?

Rule 2: Core Priorities, Know Your Limits. Right now, I hold 100% Bitcoin. Zero altcoins. This isn't forever, it just fits my life. I have a family, work full-time at an exchange, and am building CSH in my spare time.

Rule 2: Core Priorities, Know Your Limits.

Chart: (TOTAL3 - USDT)/BTC price movement. Altcoins are valued at 0.37 in BTC terms, with previous cycles bottoming out around 0.25. Source: Trading View

The Federal Reserve is meeting on Wednesday (US time). The probability of maintaining interest rates is about 85%, but whispers of rate hikes are getting louder. So: unless your plans depend on next month's interest rates, this is just noise. My plans don't depend on this.

Visa launched a stablecoin platform, allowing banks to issue their own stablecoins without building their own infrastructure. So: this is the meaning of a bear market. When no one is watching the market, infrastructure is being built.