Bitcoin's MVRV Ratio Indicates Market Equilibrium

According to BlockBeats, CryptoQuant analyst Axel noted on social media that Bitcoin's annualized adjusted MVRV ratio has reached the 1.0 range. This indicates that the short-term average (30-day) is nearly equal to the annual average (365-day). The annualized basis remains positive, with its curve maintaining a horizontal trend due to the offsetting forces of a strong rise followed by a cooling of the 30-day indicator in line with volatility and profit-taking speed, while the heavier 365-day average still reflects growth momentum from recent months. As a result, the numerator and denominator are moving almost in sync, with their difference narrowing, and the basis line neither declining nor accelerating upward, suggesting the market is digesting previous gains. This situation is more indicative of a pause within a bull market structure rather than the end of a cycle. As long as the annualized basis does not reverse downward, the current state should be viewed as balanced rather than a trend breakdown. The network is reallocating risk from impatient holders to more patient ones, with no signs of panic selling. The market's response to the current position in the coming weeks will be crucial. At this stage, the market requires time rather than a directional reversal.