Experts Warn Bitcoin Quantum Risk Is Being Underestimated

Stefano Gogioso and Daniela Herrmann warned that the crypto industry is treating quantum computing risk too casually, arguing the focus should be on the odds and cost of a Bitcoin break rather than a fixed “Q-Day” date. According to BeInCrypto, Gogioso said even a 2% chance of failure by 2030 could justify action, while Herrmann said estimates for practical quantum computing have shortened rapidly. The panel cited Google research suggesting Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve cryptography could require fewer than 500,000 physical qubits to break, and said migration to quantum-resistant cryptography could take years.