Jarden economists warned that the Reserve Bank of Australia cannot accelerate inflation’s natural decline by adjusting interest rates. According to Jin10, the economists said in a research report that inflation’s composition matters more than the headline level.
They expect core inflation to remain above 3% until the second half of 2027. The economists said the main reason inflation has come in far above expectations is not an overheated domestic economy, but fuel costs that are outside the control of officials or politicians.
They added that this pressure should ease as the situation in the Middle East returns to normal, but said their key concern is how much cost pressures will affect Australia’s goods and services.