Citi Wealth Chief Investment Officer Kate Moore has indicated that while the long-term outlook for the stock market remains positive, global markets may be approaching a consolidation phase following a period of strong gains. According to Jin10, Moore noted that despite ongoing concerns about Middle East conflicts, persistent inflation, and crowded investor positions, the market's resilience in recent months has exceeded expectations.
"In recent weeks, the focus has been on outstanding corporate earnings and companies raising their spending forecasts when discussing profits, which has made everyone very optimistic," Moore stated. She added, "Sometimes it feels like the market can only focus on one thing at a time," and for some, the market rally since the March lows has been unsettlingly strong.
Moore cautioned that investors might be underestimating the risks in the second half of the year. "One of these is certainly related to the ongoing geopolitical and energy crisis in the Middle East," she said. "Secondly, the spread of inflation, which I believe not enough people are factoring into their expectations for the fundamentals in the latter half of the year."