Polymarket's probability that "the CLARITY Act will officially take effect in 2026" has risen to 67%, a 21% increase in the last 24 hours.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of Polymarket's "CLARITY Act officially taking effect in 2026" has risen to 67%, a 21% increase in 24 hours. The event's contract rules state: if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R. 3633) is passed and signed into law by both houses of the U.S. Congress before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the result will be "Yes," otherwise "No." The primary sources of information are Congress.gov (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official U.S. government information, but other reliable reports can also be consulted. Coinbase has stated that a compromise has been reached with traditional banks regarding key disagreements surrounding stablecoin holding yield terms, clearing the way for the U.S. Senate to advance the crypto market structure bill. Previously, banks had lobbied to restrict or prohibit exchanges from offering yields to stablecoin holders, primarily due to concerns about funds flowing out of the banking deposit system. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad stated that while the final proposal adds some restrictions, it still retains the space for users to earn rewards through crypto platforms and networks based on real-world use cases. This development is expected to push the CLARITY bill into the Senate Banking Committee's voting process. Odaily Seer continues to focus on prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.