Polymarket's probability of "0 Fed rate cuts of 25 basis points in 2026" has risen to 58%, up 9% in the last 24 hours.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of the Polymarket prediction "0 Fed rate cuts of 25 basis points in 2026" has risen to 58%, a 9% increase in 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume for the "How many times will the Fed cut rates of 25 basis points in 2026" prediction event has approached $22 million. The contract rules are as follows: settlement is based on the number of times the Fed actually cuts rates by 25 basis points in 2026 (including any rate cuts at the December meeting). If the Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points after a meeting, it will be considered two rate cuts (25 basis points each). Emergency rate cuts outside of regular Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings will also be counted in the total number of rate cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026. If the specified number of rate cuts is not achieved, the market will settle early as "No". Following the release of US economic data today, US interest rate futures data showed a slight increase in market expectations regarding the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2026. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the forecasting market, seeing changes before they are priced in.