Polymarket, a prediction market platform, is in discussions with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to lift a four-year ban and reopen its Polygon blockchain-based platform to U.S. users, according to ChainCatcher. In 2022, Polymarket's parent company, Blockratize, was fined $1.4 million by the CFTC for operating an unregistered platform, leading to the ban on U.S. users.
The negotiations are notable because only CFTC Chairman Michael Selig is currently in office among the five commissioners, meaning he will make the decision alone. Selig has been a vocal supporter of prediction markets over the past year, warning against state government interference in February, issuing compliance guidelines in March, and cautioning against driving prediction markets offshore this month, which he believes could lead to an FTX-style collapse. However, the lack of consensus among commissioners raises concerns about potential policy reversals once the vacant seats are filled.
If approved, Polymarket's platform would be the first crypto-native platform under U.S. federal derivatives regulation, ending the gray area where users bypassed the ban using VPNs. Currently, neither Polymarket nor the CFTC has commented on the matter.