The Clarity Act may move to hearings in May and a vote in July, with a probability of passing by the end of the year of approximately 50%.

The legislative process for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, currently being pushed forward by the US Senate, has been delayed for several months, but a path forward still exists despite the tight legislative schedule. Sources indicate that the bill's original April passage is now virtually impossible, and it may enter the Senate committee review stage as early as May. If a Senate vote can be completed before July, the bill still has a chance to pass in 2026. However, some analysts point out that given the limited legislative window and the intertwining of multiple political issues, the probability of the bill passing in 2026 is approximately 50%, and further significant disagreements could lead to further delays or even its shelving. (CoinDesk)