According to Odaily Seer, in the Polymarket prediction event "US-Iran will ceasefire by March 31," an account with a win rate exceeding 88% (0x848921be10e51b1547d50548a54b38a1778ec184) purchased approximately $55,000 in a "no" directional position. Currently, this account's total open interest in this event is approximately $549,000, with an opening price of approximately 82¢ and a current price of approximately 82.5¢, corresponding to approximately 666,000 shares. Recent tensions in the Middle East have continued, with fluctuating progress in ceasefire negotiations between the US and Iran. Market expectations for a short-term ceasefire are divided, leading to a sustained increase in trading volume for this event. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, anticipating changes before pricing in prices.