Market analyst Jared Blikre noted that a recent global fund manager survey by Bank of America, released on Tuesday, indicates that large institutional investors have increased their holdings in emerging market stocks to the highest level since February 2021 and in commodities to the highest level since April 2022. According to Jin10, the survey also shows that the proportion of dollar holdings is below average, making the dollar a focal point in the upcoming Federal Reserve decision.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell does not need to adjust interest rates to influence market trends. If Powell's statements are hawkish and the dollar index rises above 100, it could pressure investors heavily involved in overseas trades. Conversely, a more dovish tone from Powell could alleviate this pressure, providing more growth opportunities for emerging market stocks and commodities. The key level to watch for the dollar index is 100. If it surpasses this level, pressure will increase; if it is pushed back, global risk trades are likely to continue.