CLARITY Act Passage Odds Fall to 15.5% as Two Traders Keep Yes Positions

The implied probability that the CLARITY Act will be signed into law this year has fallen to 15.5%. According to Odaily, only TwoEyes and Geminae.Columbae remain long-term active on Polymarket and Hyperliquid, keeping their earlier Yes positions despite the decline in odds. The two traders hold about 254,600 Yes shares worth roughly $39,500, with combined unrealized losses of about $11,800. Their average entry prices both imply about a 20% chance of passage. TwoEyes holds about 195,500 Yes shares with an average implied probability of 20.2% and an unrealized loss of about $9,197, while Geminae.Columbae holds about 59,200 Yes shares with an average implied probability of 19.94% and an unrealized loss of about $2,628. They also maintain large crypto exposures elsewhere, with combined notional long positions of about $19.92 million. TwoEyes holds about $1.606 million in BTC longs and about $348,000 in crude oil shorts. Geminae.Columbae holds BTC, ZEC, LINK, and HYPE longs totaling about $18.317 million.