Polymarket Sees 47% Chance CLARITY Act Becomes Law in 2026 Ahead of White House Meeting

Polymarket bettors now give the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) a 47% chance of becoming law in 2026 as White House officials prepare to meet with law enforcement groups on Wednesday. According to BeInCrypto, the meeting is the latest effort to address objections, with ethics and illicit-finance provisions—along with developer protections drawn from the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA)—seen as key sticking points. The Senate Banking Committee advanced the bill 15-9 on May 14, but it still needs 60 votes to clear the full Senate. Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn cut his 2026 passage estimate to 60% from 75% on June 5, citing a tightening Senate calendar.