Bitcoin begins the new week at a critical inflection point, with price action, derivatives positioning, and on-chain data sending mixed signals on whether the market is preparing for a rebound toward $75,000 or entering a deeper bearish regime.After briefly dipping to $59,000 earlier this month, Bitcoin has stabilized near $68,000–$69,000, a historically significant zone that now defines near-term market risk.1. Bitcoin Holds Key Long-Term Support Near $69KBitcoin closed last week above its 200-week exponential moving average, a level closely watched by long-term investors. Price is also hovering near the former 2021 all-time high just above $69,000, placing BTC back inside a range that capped price for much of 2024.Analysts note that Bitcoin has retraced roughly half of the downside “wick” from its February plunge. A sustained move higher could reinforce the range as support, while acceptance below it would raise the risk of a deeper breakdown.Some traders argue a move back toward $75,000 could trigger a “surprise recovery,” especially given still-negative market sentiment.2. Liquidations Remain Elevated Despite Narrow Price RangeWhile spot volatility has cooled, derivatives markets remain fragile. Data from CoinGlass shows more than $250 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours, even as Bitcoin traded within a sub-$3,000 range.Positioning suggests traders are increasingly clustered on the long side just below $68,000, creating potential downside liquidity targets. At the same time, long positions still dominate overall, leading some analysts to argue that bulls retain tactical control if spot demand improves.Notably, short liquidations surged last week as BTC briefly pushed above $70,000, marking the largest daily short squeeze since September 2024.3. U.S. Inflation Data Could Drive Volatility Later This WeekWith U.S. markets closed Monday for Presidents’ Day, macro-driven volatility is expected to pick up later in the week.Key releases include:Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation dataQ4 U.S. GDPPCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge and comes at a sensitive time for policy expectations. While recent CPI data softened, markets still see a low probability of rate cuts at the March FOMC meeting, according to CME Group data.Macro uncertainty and geopolitical tensions remain elevated, raising the risk of sharp, data-driven moves across risk assets.4. On-Chain Data Flags $55K–$56K as a Key Stress ZoneOn-chain analysts at CryptoQuant highlight the mid-$50,000 region as a critical downside test if selling resumes.This zone aligns with:Bitcoin’s 200-week simple moving averageBitcoin’s realized price (around $55,800)Historically, this confluence has marked accumulation zones during major corrections—but whether it holds depends on investor resilience rather than momentum alone. Bitcoin’s net unrealized profit/loss (NUPL) recently fell into the “fear” region, near levels last seen in early 2023, indicating reduced profitability across the network.5. Profitability Metrics Hint at Possible Bear TransitionMore concerning signals come from Bitcoin’s adjusted spent output profit ratio (aSOPR), which measures whether coins are being sold at a profit or loss.aSOPR dropped below 1.0 earlier this month, indicating widespread realized losses—behavior historically associated with capitulation phases. Analysts warn that unlike mid-cycle pullbacks, aSOPR has struggled to reclaim breakeven, suggesting structural weakness rather than a shallow correction.“If aSOPR fails to reclaim 1.0 soon, the probability increases that this is not a simple pullback but a broader regime shift,” CryptoQuant analysts said.Bitcoin sits at a crossroads. A successful defense of the $68,000–$69,000 range could open the door to a recovery toward $75,000, particularly if macro data supports risk appetite. Failure, however, may shift focus toward the mid-$50,000 zone and reinforce concerns of a deeper bearish phase.

Momentum is shifting aggressively in the meme coin sector, with Pippin (PIPPIN), Mubarak (MUBARAK), and Comedian (BAN) showing significant price moves and technical breakout potential. According to NS3.AI, PIPPIN has surged 142% recently and is poised for further gains if it confirms a key resistance breakout. MUBARAK and BAN are also at critical technical levels, with potential for continued upward movement but remain exposed to volatility risks and possible retracements.

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has withdrawn its 'endangerment finding,' a move that could pave the way for states to take legal action against fossil-fuel companies. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the potential implications of this decision. The withdrawal of the finding, which previously identified greenhouse gases as a threat to public health and welfare, may lead to increased litigation from states aiming to hold fossil-fuel companies accountable for environmental impacts. This development marks a significant shift in the regulatory landscape, potentially affecting the future of environmental policy and corporate responsibility in the energy sector.

The European Union's carbon permit market is increasingly under the spotlight as governments express concerns over potential voter backlash. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the growing attention from political leaders who are wary of the economic and social implications of the carbon trading system. The market, designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by setting a price on carbon, has seen fluctuating prices that could impact industries and consumers. As the EU continues to push for stricter environmental regulations, the balance between environmental goals and economic stability remains a key issue for policymakers. The situation underscores the challenges faced by governments in managing climate policies while addressing public concerns.

Multiple informed sources have revealed that the European Union and a group of 12 Indo-Pacific countries are engaged in discussions to explore the formation of one of the world's largest economic alliances. According to Jin10, these talks aim to strengthen economic ties and cooperation among the participating nations. The potential alliance could significantly impact global trade dynamics, fostering closer economic integration across regions. Details of the negotiations remain confidential, but the initiative underscores the strategic importance of the Indo-Pacific region in global economic affairs. The outcome of these discussions could reshape economic partnerships and influence international economic policies.

Bitcoin is heading toward its worst first-quarter performance in eight years, with the price down 22.3% year-to-date, raising the prospect of its weakest Q1 since the 2018 bear market.Bitcoin began the year near $87,700 and has since fallen roughly $20,000 to around $68,000, according to market data. If losses persist through the end of March, the decline would mark Bitcoin’s sharpest first-quarter drawdown since 2018, when prices collapsed nearly 50% in three months, data from CoinGlass shows.Historically, Bitcoin has posted losses in seven of the past thirteen first quarters. Recent negative Q1s include 2025 (-11.8%) and 2020 (-10.8%), underscoring the period’s reputation for volatility.“The first quarter of the year is known for its volatile nature,” analyst Daan Trades Crypto said in a post on Sunday, adding that Q1 performance has often failed to predict longer-term trends.First-ever red January and February in sightBitcoin is also on pace for an unprecedented milestone: two consecutive red months to start the year. The asset fell 10.2% in January and is down 13.4% so far in February. To avoid a negative February close, Bitcoin would need to reclaim the $80,000 level before month-end.So far, Bitcoin has only recorded back-to-back negative first quarters during deep bear markets in 2018 and 2022, highlighting how unusual the current setup could become if losses extend.Ether also under pressureThe broader crypto market has not been spared. Ethereum is down 34.3% this quarter, placing the current period on track to become its third-worst Q1 historically. Ether has closed the first quarter in the red only three times in the past nine years.Correction, not collapse?Despite the steep pullback, some analysts argue the move reflects a correction rather than a breakdown. Nick Ruck, director of LVRG Research, told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin’s decline amid global macro uncertainty remains consistent with past cyclical corrections.“Historical patterns show Bitcoin’s resilience often leads to strong recoveries in later months,” Ruck said, citing continued institutional adoption and halving-cycle dynamics as longer-term supports.As of the latest data from CoinGecko, Bitcoin was trading near $68,670, extending its losses to a fifth consecutive weekly decline.Whether this quarter ultimately mirrors past capitulation phases or stabilizes into a base-building period may hinge on broader macro conditions and risk sentiment in the weeks ahead.

Elon Musk continues to pursue his ambition of evolving the X social network into a multifaceted application. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting Musk's ongoing efforts to expand the platform's capabilities beyond traditional social networking. Musk envisions X as an all-encompassing app that integrates various services, aiming to create a seamless user experience. The concept of an 'everything app' involves incorporating functionalities such as messaging, payments, and other digital services, potentially revolutionizing how users interact with technology. Musk's vision reflects his broader strategy to innovate and redefine digital platforms, leveraging X's existing user base and infrastructure. While the transformation of X into a comprehensive app is still in its early stages, Musk's commitment to this goal underscores his determination to push technological boundaries. The development of such an app could position X as a leader in the digital space, offering users a unified platform for diverse activities. Musk's aspirations for X align with his history of ambitious projects, as he continues to explore new avenues for growth and innovation. The potential success of this initiative could have significant implications for the future of social networking and digital services.

null source: https://x.com/cointelegraph/status/2023366842971050074

Notwithstanding the social media ruckus, a Satoshi-era wallet makes a bold decision. source: https://ambcrypto.com/oldest-satoshi-era-bitcoin-wallet-buys-2b-in-btc-what-does-it-know/

XRP may be flashing a rare warning signal on higher timeframes, according to a cryptocurrency analyst who pointed to a historical gravestone doji formation on the weekly chart. The last time XRP printed this candlestick pattern, the market saw a sharp decline that ensnared nearly half of the asset’s value. com source: https://techgaged.com/gravestone-doji-xrp-just-flashed-a-brutal-historical-signal/

ビットコインの「春節効果」は2025年と2026年に初めて打ち破られた。

ビットコインの底値判断に「ゴールドローテーション」などのマクロな物語を用いるべきではない。真の底値接近シグナルは、ポジションの清算と極端な悲観ムードの中でしか現れない。

トマシュ・スタンチャクがイーサリアム財団の共同執行ディレクターを退任した。在任期間はわずか11ヶ月であった。

フィンガープリントブラウザは近年急速に台頭したツール系ソフトウェアとして、クロスボーダーECにおける複数アカウント管理、ソーシャルメディア運営、広告配信、Web3分野のエアードロップ操作（「タダ乗り」）、複数ウォレット管理などのシーンで広く活用されている。

投機家が去った後も、真のビルダーたちは建設を続けている。レバレッジが消えた時、真の需要がむしろ表面化する。

「AI界の注目株」OpenClawの創業者ピーター・シュタインベルガーは最終的にMetaを拒否し、OpenAIへの参加を選択した。

ツイートをスクロール中に$BTCや$TSLAを見かけたら、数週間後にはこのタグをクリックするだけで直接売買注文を出せるようになるかもしれない。

OpenAI、人工知能、OpenClawの父がOpenAIに加入　オットマンが獲得に成功金色财经、AIエージェント業界に重大な人事異動が起きた。

真の出口は構造的移行であって、感情の吐露ではない。受け入れられることであって、追いかけられることではない。

市場の低迷とAI技術の台頭に伴い、仮想通貨業界は感情的な変動を経験しており、多くの人々が業界の将来性に悲観的になり始めている。