Bitcoin rebounded to $66,500 after weekend strikes on Iran sparked $300 million in long liquidations, while equities fell and oil surged 13% to multi-month highs.As the Iran conflict enters its third day, BTC is showing relative resilience compared to U.S. equity futures.Bitcoin Recovers From $63K Weekend LowBitcoin briefly dropped to $63,000 following U.S. and Israeli strikes that reportedly killed Iran’s Supreme Leader, triggering retaliatory attacks and renewed geopolitical uncertainty.Since then:BTC has climbed more than 5% from the weekend lowTrading near $66,500Up about 1.1% since midnight UTCThe move returns Bitcoin to the mid-range it has held since early February, with recent volatility testing both $70,000 resistance and $62,500 support.$300M Liquidations, But No Panic SellingAccording to trading firm QCP Capital, the escalation triggered approximately $300 million in long liquidations across centralized exchanges.However:The scale was contained relative to prior deleveraging eventsFutures open interest fell just 2% to $93.78 billionFunding rates remain neutral to slightly negativeBitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility index (BVIV) remains steady near 58.8%, suggesting markets are cautious but not disorderly.On Deribit, short-term BTC puts trade at an 8%–10% volatility premium over calls, with the $60,000 put remaining the most popular bearish hedge.Oil Surges, Equities SlideThe broader macro reaction has been more pronounced outside crypto:Oil jumped 13% to $82 per barrel, highest since July 2024Gold and silver hit one-month highsS&P 500 futures down 1.1%Nasdaq 100 futures down 1.5%Despite safe-haven flows into metals and pressure on equities, Bitcoin held above $65,000, outperforming risk assets during the session.Altcoins Mirror BTC, DeFi Tokens LeadThe altcoin market largely tracked Bitcoin’s rebound, with several DeFi tokens posting gains:MORPHO up 5% in 24 hoursJUP, AAVE and LDO in positive territoryHYPE surged over 29% on Saturday before modest retracementMeanwhile, WLFI — the DeFi token linked to U.S. President Donald Trump’s family — fell 2.5% on Monday and is down more than 44% since mid-January.The CoinDesk DeFi Select Index (DFX) was the only benchmark positive over the past 24 hours, while computing and smart contract platform indices declined modestly.Derivatives Positioning Remains CautiousKey derivatives signals:Open interest: Slight declineFunding rates: Neutral to negativePut premiums elevatedNo surge in volatilityThis suggests traders are hedging downside risk without widespread panic.Market OutlookWith the Iran conflict escalating and oil prices rising, markets are balancing geopolitical risk against positioning that had already been reduced in prior weeks.Bitcoin’s ability to defend the $65,000 level while equities weaken is being viewed as a relative strength signal. However, continued volatility in energy markets and broader macro conditions could shape near-term direction.For now, BTC remains range-bound — resilient, but not yet decisively bullish.

Crypto investment products recorded $1 billion in weekly inflows, snapping a five-week outflow streak totaling approximately $4 billion, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs leading the rebound.The reversal marks the first net-positive week for crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) since January, according to new data from CoinShares.Bitcoin Leads With $882M in InflowsBitcoin-focused funds accounted for the majority of last week’s inflows:$882 million into Bitcoin products$117 million into Ether$54 million into SolanaJames Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares, said the shift in sentiment is difficult to attribute to a single catalyst.He noted that:Prior price weakness may have triggered dip-buyingBitcoin broke below key technical levels before reboundingLarge holders appear to be accumulating againClient discussions, Butterfill added, have shifted from reducing exposure to identifying entry points.Ether and Solana Post Strongest Weeks Since JanuaryEthereum products recorded $117 million in inflows, their strongest weekly performance since January.Solana funds attracted $54 million, while:Chainlink saw $3.4 millionXRP drew $2 millionHowever, year-to-date flows remain mixed:Bitcoin ETPs: -$408 million YTDEther ETPs: -$430 million YTDSolana ETPs: +$156 million YTDXRP ETPs: +$153 million YTDU.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Drive the ReboundRegionally, the United States accounted for the majority of inflows:$957 million in U.S. inflows$34 million in Canada$32.7 million in Germany$28 million in SwitzerlandU.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs alone drew $787.3 million, ending a five-week outflow streak that had exceeded $3.8 billion, according to SoSoValue.Assets Under Management Still DeclineDespite renewed inflows, total crypto ETP assets under management fell to $127.7 billion, down from $130.4 billion the prior week.Bitcoin ETF net assets also declined slightly:Current: $83.4 billionPrevious week: $85.3 billionThe drop reflects ongoing price volatility, even as investor flows turn positive.Sentiment Shift, But Caution RemainsThe $1 billion inflow suggests stabilization after sustained selling pressure, though:Year-to-date flows for major assets remain negativeTotal AUM continues to contractPrice volatility remains elevatedMarket participants will watch whether ETF demand continues in the coming weeks, as sustained institutional inflows could signal a broader recovery phase for digital assets.

A member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, Taylor, has expressed concerns about the risk of the UK facing a demand shortfall. According to Jin10, Taylor highlighted that the tightening policies implemented over the past year have exerted pressure on the economy. The warning comes amid ongoing discussions about the impact of monetary policies on economic growth and stability. Taylor's remarks underscore the challenges faced by the UK as it navigates economic uncertainties.

Iran's Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, Ali Larijani, has announced that the country is prepared for a prolonged conflict. According to Jin10, Larijani emphasized Iran's readiness to face extended warfare, highlighting the nation's strategic planning and resilience. This statement comes amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the region, underscoring Iran's stance on maintaining its defense capabilities. The announcement reflects the broader geopolitical dynamics and potential implications for regional stability.

A member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, Taylor, has noted that the recent energy shock has occurred more swiftly than the central bank's response. According to Jin10, this observation underscores the challenges faced by the Bank of England in managing economic stability amid sudden external pressures. The rapid rise in energy prices has posed significant challenges for policymakers, who are tasked with balancing inflation control and economic growth. Taylor's comments highlight the need for agile policy measures to address such unforeseen economic disruptions.

Bitcoin begins March 2026 stabilizing near $65,000 despite escalating Iran tensions, while traders debate downside targets as low as $45,000. Here are five critical factors shaping BTC this week.1. Bitcoin Avoids Panic Sell-Off After Iran EscalationDespite geopolitical shockwaves following U.S.–Iran conflict developments, Bitcoin briefly dipped toward $63,000 before rebounding and defending the $65,000 area.While weekend liquidity was thin, forced selling remained contained. According to market data, roughly $300 million in long liquidations were triggered — notable, but modest compared to previous deleveraging events.Some traders are eyeing:$62,200 as untested range support$60,000–$61,000 as potential long-entry zones$74,000 as a possible short-term liquidity trapMarket sentiment remains cautious but not panic-driven.2. $45,000 Re-Emerges as Bear Market TargetLonger-term analysts are warning that historical patterns point to deeper downside.Independent analyst Filbfilb highlighted that in past cycles, weekly closes below key long-term support bands have resulted in 40%–50% additional corrections, placing potential targets in the $40,000–$45,000 range.Open interest trends are also raising concerns:Rising open interestFalling spot priceSuggesting growing short positioningIf historical drawdown patterns continue moderating, a 60%–70% cycle correction remains within statistical norms.3. “This Is Not World War III,” Analysts SayDespite intense headlines, several market commentators have pushed back against extreme geopolitical narratives.Oil prices rose roughly 7% on initial Iran headlines, but analysts noted the move lacked full panic characteristics.Trading firm QCP Capital observed that crypto positioning had already been reduced prior to the escalation, limiting forced liquidation pressure.Market commentary from The Kobeissi Letter stated:“This is NOT World War 3. Ignore the noise.”Historical precedent also shows that prior Iran-related tensions in 2025 caused only temporary crypto volatility before trends resumed.4. Inflation Risks Could Shape the Conflict’s DurationMacro analysts are closely watching oil and inflation implications.A full closure of the Strait of Hormuz could push oil above $100 per barrel, potentially driving U.S. CPI toward ~5%, according to market estimates.Energy price sensitivity matters because:Every $10 rise in oil may add ~0.20% to headline inflationHigher inflation reduces odds of Federal Reserve rate cutsFewer rate cuts mean less liquidity for risk assetsCurrent CME FedWatch data shows only a 4.4% probability of a March rate cut, reflecting inflation caution.Some analysts argue that prolonged military action would conflict with domestic inflation objectives, potentially favoring a shorter engagement.5. Bitcoin ETF Inflows Show Early StabilizationAmid bearish technical setups, institutional flows are showing tentative improvement.U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recently recorded over $1 billion in inflows across three days, marking the first meaningful accumulation wave in months.On-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant noted this as the first notable ETF demand resurgence since Bitcoin’s $126,200 all-time high in October.Historically:Rising ETF demand aligns with constructive price actionDeclining ETF demand aligns with price weaknessTotal ETF holdings remain near 1.29 million BTC, suggesting long-term institutional capital has not fully exited.Bottom LineBitcoin starts March in a fragile but controlled consolidation phase:Support holding near $65,000Bearish long-term targets around $45,000Inflation risks tied to oil volatilityETF flows stabilizingGeopolitical fears present but not systemicWhether BTC breaks lower or stages a recovery will likely depend on:Oil price stabilityUpcoming U.S. CPI data (March 11 release)Sustained ETF inflowsTechnical reclaim of $68,000–$72,000 resistanceFor now, volatility remains elevated — but far from disorderly. 

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has announced its readiness to intervene in currency markets due to ongoing impacts from the Iran crisis. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the SNB's commitment to maintaining stability in the financial markets. The central bank's proactive stance comes as geopolitical tensions influence global economic conditions, prompting concerns over currency fluctuations. The SNB's intervention strategy aims to mitigate potential disruptions and ensure the Swiss franc remains stable amidst international uncertainties. This approach reflects the bank's broader mandate to safeguard Switzerland's economic interests and maintain monetary stability. The Iran crisis has led to heightened volatility in currency markets, with potential implications for trade and investment flows. The SNB's readiness to act underscores the importance of monitoring geopolitical developments and their effects on financial systems. As global markets react to the unfolding situation, the SNB's intervention could play a crucial role in stabilizing currency values and supporting economic resilience. The bank's actions will be closely watched by investors and policymakers as they navigate the challenges posed by the crisis.

Polymarketのトレーダーはイラン政権交代への賭けを下方修正した。この暗号予測市場のデータによると、イラン政権が3月31日までに崩壊する確率は現在20％台を維持しているが、土曜日にイラン最高指導者ハメネイ師が空爆で死亡した際の約40％から低下している。現在、政権崩壊契約の取引額は1400万ドルを超えている。さらに、他の満期日が遅い契約では、6月30日までにイラン政権が崩壊する確率は42％、年末までに崩壊する確率は50％と示されており、関連契約の取引額はそれぞれ500万ドルと700万ドルとなっている。最近、Polymarketと競合のKalshiは、米国のイラン攻撃やハメネイ師の失脚に関する賭け行為に関与したことで論争を巻き起こしている。（WSJ）

Several flights operated by Etihad Airways departed from Abu Dhabi International Airport on Monday, heading to destinations such as London, Paris, Moscow, and Mumbai. Bloomberg posted on X, citing data from the airport's website and FlightRadar24. These flights mark a continuation of Etihad's international operations, connecting Abu Dhabi with key global cities.

The practice of betting against stocks, known as short selling, is experiencing a revival. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting that this trend could potentially steer the market towards a more balanced valuation. The resurgence of this strategy suggests a shift in investor sentiment, aiming to correct overvalued stocks and bring them closer to their intrinsic worth. As more investors engage in short selling, it may contribute to a healthier market environment by addressing inflated stock prices and encouraging more accurate assessments of company values.

ハイパーリキッド、ゴールド、バイナンス、地政学的ブラックスワン：ゴールドの究極のアービトラージゴールデンファイナンス、クリプトはゴールド自体に「価格決定権」を持たない。

人工知能、Claude、AIが進化すればするほどマクドナルドの価値は上がるゴールデンファイナンス、2026年年明け、AIが資本市場を震撼させた。

スクラップ金属億万長者で著名なNFT投資家アダム・ワイツマンのXアカウントが木曜日にハッキングされ、偽の外国為替取引講座と「Clawed Ape Yacht Club」と称する模倣ミームコインを含む、1つではなく2つの暗号通貨詐欺を宣伝するために悪用された。

米国当局は、米国居住者を標的とした詐欺を実行する中国の国際犯罪ネットワークに関連する仮想通貨5億7800万ドル以上を押収・凍結した。東南アジアを拠点とするこれらの活動には「豚屠殺詐欺」や労働者人身取引が含まれており、捜査当局は資金の没収と被害者への返還を目指している。

今こそ規制当局に「持続可能なトークンエコノミクス」とは何かを伝える必要がある。

劇的な戦略転換により、マジック・エデンはイーサリアムとビットコインのNFT事業を終了させる。かつて称賛されたマルチチェーン展開を放棄し、暗号通貨ギャンブル事業に注力する方針だ。

OpenAIは米軍による自社AIの利用を認める契約を締結し、批判とChatGPTの解約ラッシュを招いた。一方、AnthropicのAI「Claude」は安全性と倫理的懸念から同様の契約を拒否したことでユーザーを獲得している。

韓国国税庁が押収した暗号資産ウォレットの回復フレーズを誤って公開し、鍵を公に晒した。直後、正体不明の者がこのフレーズを利用して政府管理下のウォレットから約480万ドル相当のトークンを移動させた。

Twitter、暗黙の広告時代の終焉：Xの新規ルールとグローバルプラットフォームの商業ガバナンス論理金色财经、Xプロモーション新規則の背景にある生態系移行と権力の限界を解読。

カルシは、イラン最高指導者の運命に連動した高取引量の予測市場が、米イスラエルの攻撃による同指導者の死後に反発を招いたことで、厳しい監視に直面している。