Bitcoin (BTC) bertahan di $29.000 saat Wall Street dibuka pada 27 Mei, karena level support utama hanya berjarak beberapa ratus dolar dari harga spot.
Grafik kandil 1 hari BTC/USD (Bitstamp) Sumber: TradingView
Pedagang meminta posisi terendah di atas $28.000
Data dari Cointelegraph Markets Pro dan TradingView mengonfirmasi bahwa volatilitas telah mereda lagi di tengah minggu aksi harga yang suram.
BTC/USD menemukan dirinya dalam saluran sempit pada hari itu, dan untuk kontributor Cointelegraph Michaël van de Poppe, tidak perlu banyak penyimpangan untuk memecahkan status quo.
“Secara teknis, dalam hal Bitcoin, Anda jelas ingin melihat titik terendah yang lebih tinggi terjadi, dan jika kami melakukannya, kami dapat mulai melihat kelanjutannya,” katanya dalam pembaruan YouTube baru-baru ini.
Level yang dipertahankan sekarang sudah dekat - $28.600 dan $28.200, untuk menghindari mencapai level terendah minggu ini di $28.000 lagi dan berpotensi melepaskan kesempatan untuk membangun lebih tinggi atau lebih rendah.
“Jika itu hilang, maka saya berharap diri saya berada di $26.000 karena dengan begitu kita akan mulai bergerak lebih jauh ke bawah,” pungkasnya.
Sama-sama waspada adalah komentator Bob Loukas, yang mengamati indikator volatilitas Bollinger Bands pada siang hari untuk memperingatkan kemungkinan gejolak.
Di media sosial, keyakinan luas bahwa kapitulasi cryptocurrency sudah dekat telah menjadi sentimen dominan dalam beberapa minggu terakhir.
Pasokan yang menguntungkan menguntungkan beruang
Pada saat yang sama, melihat keseluruhan jaringan secara keseluruhan menimbulkan kekhawatiran bahwa harga saat ini tidak terjangkau.
Saat menganalisis pasokan sebagai persentase keuntungan, Kripto Mevsimi, seorang analis kontributor di platform analitik on-chain CryptoQuant, sampai pada kesimpulan bearish.
Saat ini, sekitar 55% dari pasokan menguntungkan, dan harus ada lebih banyak kapitulasi harga daripada perilaku historis untuk memberikan jaminan dasar makro, jelasnya.
Namun, pertama-tama, BTC/USD harus memiliki periode sideways sebelum akhirnya jatuh. Ini akan membuat kinerja harga saat ini konsisten dengan bear market 2018 dan crash Maret 2020.
"Selanjutnya; 2-3 bulan aksi harga yang membosankan. Kemudian kapitulasi akhir dapat menghasilkan tambahan penurunan harga 30%-50%," pungkasnya.
Bagan terlampir membandingkan tiga tahap dari level tertinggi tahun 2017 sebesar $20.000.
Pasokan Bitcoin dalam Untung vs BTC/USD Bagan Beranotasi Sumber: CryptoQuant
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