Venezuelan President Maduro's Potential Resignation Gains Attention

According to PANews, data from a prediction market website indicates a rising probability of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro stepping down by January 31. As of Friday evening at 10 p.m. Eastern Time, the likelihood increased from a steady 5%-6% over the past week to 8.5%, reaching 12.5% by early Saturday morning at 1 a.m. The probability continued to climb steadily from 1:15 a.m. onward. The website features at least six contracts betting on Maduro's resignation, totaling $56.6 million. Among these, approximately $11 million is wagered on his departure by January 31, with a successful prediction. Additionally, around $40 million was bet on his resignation by November 30 or December 31, both of which were unsuccessful predictions.