Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示，在 Polymarket“NBA 常规赛活塞对战猛龙”预测事件中，某盈利超 160 万美元账号（地址：0xbddf61af533ff524d27154e589d2d7a81510c684）购入 11 万美元活塞让分 3.5 战胜猛龙，开仓价为 48¢。NBA 常规赛活塞对战猛龙于北京时间今日 8 点开赛。目前 NBA 常规赛已进入尾声阶段，活塞战绩为 54 胜 21 负，排名东部第 1 位；猛龙战绩为 42 胜 32 负，排名东部第 5 位。Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场，在定价之前，看见变化。

On Apr 01, 2026, 01:27 AM(UTC). According to Binance Market Data, Ethereum has dropped below 2,100 USDT and is now trading at 2,099.909912 USDT, with a narrowed narrowed 2.24% increase in 24 hours.

Bitcoin experienced a 1.62% increase in March, successfully avoiding a sixth consecutive monthly decline. According to NS3.AI, Ethereum also saw a rise of 6.97%, preventing a seventh straight monthly drop. Coinglass data reveals that for the quarter, Bitcoin recorded a return of -22.34%, while Ethereum posted a return of -29.26%. Both cryptocurrencies marked their third-largest quarterly declines in the tracked period.

U.S. stocks ended the trading session on a positive note, with significant gains observed across major indices. According to NS3.AI, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 2.49%, while the S&P 500 climbed 2.91%. The Nasdaq Composite also saw a substantial rise of 3.83%. In the cryptocurrency sector, ABTC experienced a notable increase of 17.01%, contributing to the overall positive performance of crypto-linked shares.

Hong Kong's anticipated issuance of its first batch of compliant stablecoin issuer licenses, initially expected in March 2026, has yet to occur. According to NS3.AI, a spokesperson for the Hong Kong Monetary Authority stated that the authority is actively progressing with the licensing process and plans to announce the results publicly at a suitable time. Market attention is primarily directed towards HSBC and Standard Chartered for the initial batch of licenses, while applications for the second batch are also in progress.

TON Strategy reported holding 219.7 million TON tokens valued at approximately $356.8 million as of December 31, 2025. According to NS3.AI, the company also earned 2.185 million TON in staking rewards throughout the year.

U.S. Secretary of State Rubio has indicated the possibility of direct meetings with Iran. According to BlockBeats, this statement was reported by Fox News on April 1. The potential for direct engagement marks a significant development in U.S.-Iran relations, as diplomatic efforts continue to address ongoing tensions.

Solana's native token, SOL, experienced an 11% decline after hitting resistance at $93 last Wednesday. According to Odaily, the token's recent performance has been weaker compared to the broader crypto market, repeatedly testing the $80 support level. Concerns are mounting that its price might further test the $75 mark, as Solana's network fees have been decreasing for two consecutive months. On-chain data reveals Solana's total value locked (TVL) is approximately $6.3 billion, significantly trailing Ethereum's $54.1 billion. However, Solana's network fees over the past 30 days remain 80% higher, primarily due to Ethereum's fee reduction through Layer 2 Rollup and data Blob mechanisms. In March, Solana's network fees dropped to $18.5 million, a 42% decrease from January's $30 million, largely influenced by shrinking decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volumes. Solana's DEX trading volume fell to $55.5 billion, marking the lowest level since September 2024. In contrast, Ethereum's March DEX trading volume was $41 billion, a 23% decline from two months prior. However, when considering Layer 2 networks like Base, Arbitrum, Polygon, and Optimism, Ethereum's DEX market share increased from 33% in January to 42%, challenging Solana's dominance and partly explaining SOL's current pressure. Despite these challenges, Solana's ecosystem fundamentals remain supportive. Over the past 30 days, Solana boasts 13 DApps generating over $1 million in revenue, surpassing Ethereum's 11, and BNB Chain and Base, each with 4. Projects like Helium Network continue to attract developer and financial interest. Overall, while declining DEX activity has impacted short-term performance, Solana's ecosystem profitability and developer appeal persist, with no conclusive evidence suggesting SOL will inevitably fall below the $75 support level.

Solana 原生代币 SOL 在上周三于 93 美元遇阻后回落约 11%，近期表现明显弱于整体加密市场，并多次测试 80 美元支撑位。与此同时，Solana 网络费用已连续两个月下滑，市场担忧其价格或进一步回测 75 美元水平。链上数据显示，Solana 当前总锁仓量（TVL）约为 63 亿美元，仍显著落后于以太坊的 541 亿美元。不过，过去 30 天 Solana 网络费用仍高出 80%，主要因以太坊通过 Layer2 Rollup 及数据 Blob 机制降低主网费用。具体来看，Solana 3 月网络费用降至 1850 万美元，较 1 月的 3000 万美元下降 42%，主要受去中心化交易所（DEX）交易量萎缩影响。数据显示，Solana DEX 交易量降至 555 亿美元，为 2024 年 9 月以来最低水平。相比之下，以太坊 3 月 DEX 交易量为 410 亿美元，较两个月前下降 23%。但若叠加 Base、Arbitrum、Polygon 及 Optimism 等 Layer2 网络，其 DEX 市场份额已由 1 月的 33%升至 42%，对 Solana 主导地位形成挑战，也在一定程度上解释了 SOL 当前的承压走势。不过，从生态基本面来看，Solana 仍具备支撑。过去 30 天内，Solana 拥有 13 个收入超过 100 万美元的 DApp，领先于以太坊的 11 个，以及 BNB Chain 和 Base 各 4 个的水平。包括 Helium Network 等项目在内的协议收入，持续吸引开发者与资金关注。整体来看，尽管 DEX 活跃度下滑拖累短期表现，但 Solana 生态的盈利能力与开发者吸引力仍在，市场尚无充分证据表明 SOL 将因网络费用下降而必然跌破 75 美元支撑位。（Cointelegraph）

According to Jin10, the Indian rupee could fall to a historic low of 100 against the U.S. dollar if the conflict in Iran continues. Despite efforts by Indian authorities over the past year to mitigate the rupee's approximately 10% decline, strategists warn these measures may only offer temporary relief. Analysts from Wells Fargo indicate that rising oil prices could exacerbate inflation and the current account deficit, accelerating the rupee's depreciation. Options market pricing supports this view, suggesting expectations for the rupee to weaken further towards the 100 mark. As one of Asia's worst-performing currencies this year, the rupee's ongoing decline has prompted the Reserve Bank of India to implement its most stringent measures in over a decade, capping banks' end-of-day positions in the onshore currency market at $100 million. This move forces banks to scale back and limit large unilateral bets on the rupee. However, Monday's market performance highlighted the limitations of this measure, as the rupee initially surged 1.4% due to regulatory actions but quickly reversed to a new low of 95.125. Options pricing indicates traders see a 13% probability of the rupee breaching 100 by the end of June, with this likelihood rising to 41% by year-end.

最有钱的玩家都退坑，区块链游戏过去曾作为加密行业最有潜力“破圈”的王牌叙事，今日是否已经日暮途穷？

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