Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示， Polymarket“鲍威尔 5 月 30 日前卸任美联储理事”概率暴跌，现已降至 9%，24 小时下跌 25%；“鲍威尔 12 月 31 日前卸任美联储理事”概率跌至 66%，24 小时下跌 11%。该事件合约规则是：美联储主席鲍威尔在标的日期（美国东部时间晚上 11:59）期间的任何时间段内不再担任美联储理事会成员，则将判定为“是”，否则将判定为“否”。如果鲍威尔不再担任美联储主席，但仍是美联储理事会成员，则不符合“是”的判定条件。判定依据为美国政府发布的信息，但可信报告的共识亦可作为依据。鲍威尔今晨在新闻发布会上表示卸任主席后将继续担任美联储理事“一段时间”并承诺“保持低调”，美国财长贝森特回应称，“鲍威尔若留任美联储理事，将是非同寻常的，对于一个一直强调规范的人而言，他单方面的决定却与传统背道而驰。”Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场，在定价之前，看见变化。

据华尔街日报：消息人士透露，特朗普政府告知 Anthropic，反对扩大对 Mythos 模型的访问权限。(金十)

The Trump administration has reportedly informed Anthropic of its opposition to expanding access to the Mythos model, according to sources cited by the Wall Street Journal. This development comes amid ongoing discussions about the implications of AI technology and its accessibility. Anthropic, known for its advancements in AI, faces challenges in navigating regulatory concerns as it seeks to broaden the reach of its Mythos model.

据 Gate 最新数据，黄金价格上涨至 4,565.28 美元/盎司，日内涨幅达 0.47%。白银价格涨至 72.165 美元/盎司，日内涨幅达 1.24%。BVIX（BTC 波动率指数）最新报价 41.40，日内跌幅为 1.43%。EVIX（ETH 波动率指数 ） 最新报价 59.04，日内涨幅为 0.92%。外汇方面，美元兑离岸人民币（USD/CNH）日内下跌 0.05%，当前汇率为 6.84272。美元兑日元（USD/JPY）日内下跌 0.18%，当前汇率为 160.142。全球股指方面，欧洲 50 指数（EUSTX50）日内下跌 0.75%，报 5,789.75 点；英国富时 100 指数（UK100）日内上涨 0.14%，报 10,210.64 点；德国 DAX40 指数（GER40）日内上涨 0.24%，报 23,894.85 点。大宗商品方面，WTI 原油日内下跌 1.29%，报 109.39 美元/桶。布伦特原油日内下跌 0.78%，报 116.85 美元/桶。Gate 支持用户在平台内直接交易传统金融市场产品，一站式覆盖贵金属、外汇、全球股票差价合约（CFD）、重要指数及大宗商品等多类资产，实现加密资产与传统金融资产的深度融合。Gate TradFi 相关功能已全面集成至 Gate App 及 Web 端，用户无需切换平台，即可便捷参与全球资产价格交易，在加密市场之外解锁更多策略与机会，持续提升多元资产配置体验。

Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示， Polymarket“NBA 季后赛西部首轮 G5 火箭对战湖人”预测事件中，盈利超 170 万美元账户（0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3）购入 30 万美元火箭战胜湖人，开仓均价 39.9¢，当前价格 40.5¢，浮亏约 4600 万美元。NBA 季后赛西部首轮火箭对战湖人大比分 1:3，湖人暂时领先，G5 将于北京时间今日 10 点进行。据报道，湖人球星东契奇将会缺席次轮初始阶段，他的回归时间表仍不明确。Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场，在定价之前，看见变化。

根据 msx.com 数据，美股收盘，道指跌 0.57%，标普 500 指数跌 0.04%，纳指涨 0.04%。加密板块多数走弱，其中 HOOD 跌幅逾 13.24%，HODL 下跌 15.96%，Coinbase 下跌 6.37%，MSTR 下跌 4.54%，SBET 下跌 4.24%。据悉，msx.com 是一个去中心化 RWA 交易平台，累计已上线数百种 RWA 代币，涵盖 AAPL、AMZN、GOOGL、META、MSFT、NFLX、NVDA 等美股及 ETF 代币标的。

CoinMarketCap's Crypto Fear & Greed Index has decreased by two points, moving from a neutral position to a state of fear at 39. According to NS3.AI, this index evaluates market sentiment on a scale from 0 to 100, incorporating factors such as price movements of the top 10 cryptocurrencies, market volatility, derivatives data, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio, and search data from CoinMarketCap.

Meta收购Manus被叫停，不是一次简单的商业事件，而是中美AI竞争从“技术比拼”延伸到“规则博弈”的标志性事件。

World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a cryptocurrency project backed by the Trump family, has commenced voting on a proposal to unlock tokens, according to ChainCatcher. The proposal involves approximately 62.28 billion WLFI tokens, including 17.04 billion tokens locked by early supporters and 45.24 billion tokens held by the founding team, advisors, and partners. Early supporters' tokens will have a two-year lock-up period followed by a two-year linear release. For the founding team and others, if the new proposal is accepted, 10% (about 4.52 billion tokens) will be permanently destroyed, while the remaining 90% will be subject to a two-year lock-up period followed by a three-year linear release. Those who do not accept the new proposal will continue with indefinite lock-up but can still participate in governance. The voting period will last for seven days and requires a quorum of 1 billion WLFI tokens.

Japan's government reported on Thursday that the country's industrial output unexpectedly declined in March, primarily due to supply disruptions from the Middle East affecting chemical and fuel product production. According to Jin10, Japan's industrial output fell by 0.5% month-on-month in March, marking the second consecutive month of decline and falling short of market expectations for a 1.1% increase. The decline was mainly attributed to products derived from petroleum, with polyethylene production dropping by 27% and polypropylene by 15% in March. However, Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) stated that the country maintains a 1.8-month supply of these intermediate chemical products, which should largely mitigate the impact on downstream shipments. The data also showed a general decline in domestic fuel production in March, with gasoline production down by 7.3% and diesel by 14.3%. Japan relies on the Middle East for approximately 95% of its crude oil, most of which is transported through the Strait of Hormuz.

A South Korean central bank official stated that the bank is prepared to take necessary measures to stabilize financial markets if required. According to Odaily, the official emphasized that the bank is closely monitoring the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

美联储主席鲍威尔在主持完任期内的最后一次议息会议后，做出了一个打破数十年传统的决定：虽然交棒，但不走人。

鲍威尔任期最后一次FOMC会议，从声明措辞、投票结构以及会后表态来看，整体基调明显偏向鹰派，超出了此前市场对“温和中性”的预期。

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AI 加速时代，以太坊要回答的真正问题，已经远不是如何更快、更便宜。

香港证监会于2026年4月20日公布有关代币化证监会认可投资产品（以下简称代币化产品）在二级市场买卖的通函，为这类产品提供了一种新的交易渠道选择。

美联储是否仍愿意保留“下一步更可能降息”的政策暗示，还是开始承认风险已经转向双向。

这一时间窗口，也将是阿联酋调整节奏、全面增产的关键窗口。