Morgan Stanley said the market had been too optimistic on Meituan's food-delivery unit economics recovery and the normalization of competition in its in-store business, but recent share-price weakness has made expectations more reasonable and created an entry point, according to ETNet. The broker kept its forecast that food-delivery unit economics will recover to RMB1 per order next year and said the market has largely priced out concerns. It also said Meituan's long-term growth potential in other in-store businesses has not been fully reflected, leaving room for upside. Morgan Stanley maintained its Overweight rating and HK$110 target price. On competition, the broker said Douyin expanded aggressively in in-store dining in the first half of this year, narrowing the gap in gross merchandise value with Meituan, and expects competition to remain intense in the near term. It nevertheless expects Meituan's core competitiveness in other physical-store businesses to remain intact, with a 60% restaurant market share and continued share in other in-store businesses. Morgan Stanley said it remains confident in Meituan's long-term potential, but competition will pressure near-term profits. It forecast Meituan's core local commerce operating profit at RMB14 billion, RMB50 billion and RMB60 billion for 2026 to 2028. In e-commerce, it ranked Alibaba, Meituan, PDD and JD.com in that order.

Hong Kong stocks fell for a fifth straight session and hit a near two-month low as U.S. Treasury yields rose again and markets priced in a 70% chance of a rate hike next week, according to Ming Pao. Overnight U.S. equities declined, while U.S. futures were mixed this morning. Asian markets also weakened, with Japan's market down more than 3%, South Korea's market down more than 2%, Shenzhen's market down 2.7%, Shanghai's market down 1.8% and Taiwan's market down more than 1.5%. Hong Kong's decline was less than 1%.

According to Jin10, Xingyun Technology said the profit margins of its orders on hand are affected by upstream supplier purchase prices. The company said its core long-term contracts use a monthly delivery, monthly payment, and monthly revenue recognition model, and that if upstream supplier purchase prices rise or fall, signed but undelivered orders may still be subject to negotiated adjustments to service contracts based on market conditions. It also said it is constrained by multiple factors, including upstream hardware supply, procurement cycles, financing, production capacity, and delivery and operations capabilities, and that adverse changes in these conditions or weaker-than-expected resource access could affect revenue and profit realization in related businesses.

According to Sina Finance, the Central News Agency and the Hong Kong Economic Times, Asian equities broadly retreated at midday Friday after a hotter-than-expected U.S. August producer price index, a jump in oil prices to a near five-month high and 10-year Treasury yields approaching 5% lifted bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike next week to about 70%, pressuring rate-sensitive and metals sectors. Tokyo's Nikkei 225 sank to 63,630.11 as of 04:33 UTC, down 1,640.84 or 2.51%, with chip-related names among the heaviest losers; Advantest fell 7.40% and Tokyo Electron dropped 4.01%. Seoul's KOSPI, which opened down 3.29%, was at 6,853.07 as of 04:33 UTC, off 180.85 or 2.57%. Chip heavyweights weighed on the index, with Samsung Electronics down 4.18% and SK Hynix off 3.78%. Hong Kong stocks closed the morning session lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.85% at 24,742.51 and the Hang Seng Tech Index off 0.79% at the half-day break. Non-ferrous metal names slid, with Jiangxi Copper down 10.65% after LME copper tumbled on stalled U.S. tariff plans; property developers and storage-chip stocks also weakened, while Tencent bucked the trend, up 1.03% at HK$430.00, and Xiaomi added 1.23%. Taiwan's TAIEX was at 46,326.10 as of 04:32 UTC, down 1.31%, having fallen more than 900 points intraday to a low of 45,964 and breaching the 46,000 level; TSMC eased 1.22% to NT$2,420 and MediaTek fell 2.44%. In mainland China, the Shanghai Composite ended the morning down 1.82% at 3,862.73, the Shenzhen Component off 2.34% at 13,298.77 and the ChiNext Index down 2.04% at 3,270.35, with precious- and industrial-metal shares leading declines while defense and power names traded higher.

Arthur Hayes在播客节目中接受访谈，围绕全球宏观环境与加密市场前景展开讨论。

Ripple is adding AI agents to Ripple Treasury, the corporate treasury business it spent $1 billion to enter last year. According to NS3.AI, the tools can monitor cash, risk, and forecasts, and recommend actions. People must approve any action before it is executed.

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows OpenAI's probability of having the best image editing AI on Polymarket at the end of September is 93%, up 43% over the past week. According to Odaily, the market will settle based on the company behind the model ranked first on arena.ai's "Image Edit Arena" leaderboard at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on September 30, 2026. The settlement will use the Image Edit Arena overall leaderboard filtered to "Models." Models marked "AutoEval" will not count, while models marked "Preliminary" may participate. If multiple models share the same rank, the one shown higher on the leaderboard will take priority; if they are still tied, the company names will be ordered alphabetically. If the leaderboard is temporarily unavailable at settlement time, the market will remain open until it can be checked again. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, the market will settle as "Other."

Asian refiners have bought large volumes of U.S. crude for October shipment, with 18 to 20 very large crude carrier slots already booked by mid-month. According to Sina Finance, the total purchase volume is about 36 million to 40 million barrels. The buyers include refiners in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, and other parts of Southeast Asia. The larger U.S. crude buyers so far include Cosmo Oil, Idemitsu Kosan, and SK Energy. Landed prices for U.S. crude shipped to Asia have continued to rise, and October-shipment cargoes were priced at about $30 a barrel above the Dubai benchmark this week. U.S. crude shipped in October on very large crude carriers typically arrives in Asia around December.

According to Jin10, Dubai Airport CEO Paul Griffiths said the new airport may place some areas underground to guard against possible future drone or missile attacks, and that fuel tanks and other critical infrastructure could be located underground while other areas may need additional reinforcement.

US authorities are moving beyond individual crypto scammers and targeting the financial and communications infrastructure allegedly helping Southeast Asia’s industrial-scale scam centers move and launder their money.

AI资本开支撑起半壁江山，集中度风险正逼近系统性临界点。

共和党对法案内去中心化金融（DeFi）与信用合作社相关条款作出修订，但下周二程序性投票前景依旧不明朗；白宫始终未就道德条款表明立场。

Liquid Network has restarted block production after a $320 million exploit drained about 4,000 BTC from its federation wallet, with 3,400 BTC later returned by the attackers. Transactions and peg operations remain suspended while Liquid fixes the Elements software flaw and works to restore the Bitcoin reserves, with about 598.5 BTC still outstanding.

人工智能,LLM,法律,政策监管,拒绝二元对立：对大模型蒸馏行为应坚持法律评价与证据导向 金色财经,大模型蒸馏技术中性的表象下，法律边界究竟在哪里？

PumpFun拥有加密领域盈利能力最强的业务之一，却同时伴随透明度不足、代币利益绑定薄弱等问题，能否有效应对Pons与StonkFun的冲击，将是检验其护城河能否守住的关键。

名人发币难逃归零，MEME周期终会退潮，别把炒作当投资。

随着TradeXYZ持续上新交易市场，其在交易所内的交易量占比不断走高。每新增一个交易市场都会带来净新增用户，全年数次宏观层面的驱动因素进一步加速了这一增长。

周五CPI公布前债市已率先行动。10年期美债收益率升至4.943%，美联储下周加息概率升至71%。市场担忧美联储可能重新收紧，而真正的关键就看CPI能否给出最后一击。