2026年伊始，全球金融市场呈现出显著的波动性特征，与2000年互联网泡沫时期存在诸多相似之处。如今AI技术驱动的增长模式正面临类似考验。

纳斯达克上市公司 Robinhood 发布 2026 年 1 月运营数据，其中披露用户、资产及交易量均保持持续增长，其中截至 1 月底平台总资产为 3,240 亿美元，环比增长 1%，同比增长 59%；股票名义交易量 2,273 亿美元，环比增长 21%，同比增长 57%；加密货币交易量达 229 亿美元，环比增 8%，同比增 12%，其中 Robinhood App 交易额 87 亿美元，Bitstamp 交易额 142 亿美元；事件合约交易量 3 亿份，环比增 17%。Robinhood 还披露截至 2 月 17 日本季度已回购约 210 万股 A 类普通股，总额约 1.73 亿美元，是 2025 年第四季度回购数量的两倍以上。（Globenewswire）

根据 msx.com 数据，美股收盘，道指收跌 0.54%，标普 500 指数跌 0.28%，纳指跌 0.31%。加密板块涨跌不一，ETHZilla 上涨 1.1%，Circle 下跌 1.95%，Bit Digital 上涨 3.07%，Robinhood 上涨 0.59%，Coinbase 上涨 1.15%。据悉，msx.com 是一个去中心化 RWA 交易平台，累计已上线数百种 RWA 代币，涵盖 AAPL、AMZN、GOOGL、META、MSFT、NFLX、NVDA 等美股及 ETF 代币标的。

The Palm Beach airport is set to undergo a name change, adopting the name of U.S. President Donald Trump. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting this development as the latest in a series of institutions to be named after the president. The decision reflects Trump's influence and presence in the region, marking a significant change for the airport. This renaming aligns with other entities that have chosen to honor the president by adopting his name, further cementing his legacy in various sectors.

The Canadian province of Alberta is set to conduct a referendum on whether to impose restrictions on immigration and limit newcomers' access to public services. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the province's struggle with declining crude oil prices and an increasing budget deficit. The referendum aims to address economic concerns by potentially reducing the financial burden on public resources. Alberta's government is considering these measures as part of broader efforts to stabilize its economy and manage fiscal challenges. The outcome of the referendum could significantly impact immigration policies and public service access in the province.

Matrixport 在 X 平台发文指出：比特币近期快速下跌，期权隐含波动率一度飙升，随后部分回落。比特币价格从 8.5 万美元附近下挫至 6 万美元附近的低点，之后在 6.6 万美元左右企稳。与此同时，2026 年 3 月到期的隐含波动率从 40%出头快速拉升至接近 65%的恐慌性高点，反映出下跌过程中对下行保护的强烈需求。此后隐含波动率回落至 50%附近，表明部分尾部风险对冲正在解除，短期压力有所缓和。加密市场正逼近关键拐点：波动率仍处高位，情绪徘徊在极端低位，市场流动性继续流出。交易者逐步解除崩盘对冲，整体仓位明显变轻，参与度也显著下降。历史上，这类组合特征往往出现在重要方向性行情启动之前。宏观环境出现改善，但加密资产价格仍未明显跟随，这种背离通常难以长期持续。

Hong Kong's semiconductor sector experienced a downturn as several key stocks saw significant declines. According to Jin10, TianShu Intelligence (09903.HK) and HongGuang Semiconductor (06908.HK) both fell over 5%, while Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) dropped 4.8%. Additionally, NaXin Microelectronics (02676.HK) and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981.HK) decreased by more than 2%. The market sentiment reflects broader concerns impacting the semiconductor industry.

加密风投机构 Dragonfly 管理合伙人 Haseeb 在 X 平台发文表示，尽管身处加密货币行业，但在实际投资交易中人们依然选择签署法律合同，而非仅依赖智能合约。即便交易双方都是具备技术能力与法律顾问支持的加密原生机构，也难以完全信任智能合约作为唯一约束机制。传统银行体系经过数百年演进，围绕“人类失误”设计风控机制；而加密系统则对人类并不友好，复杂地址、钓鱼攻击、授权漏洞与 Gas 机制等均与人类直觉不符，因此加密货币或许并非为人类构建，而是为机器准备的金融系统。比如，AI 代理能够快速验证合约、分析条款并执行协议，更倾向于信任确定性的代码，而非存在司法不确定性的法律体系，未来的加密入口将是自驱钱包（Self-Driving Wallet），由 AI 全权代理用户在 DeFi 协议中配置资产、执行交易，甚至与其他 AI 代理自动达成经济协议，相较之下当前由人类直接操作加密协议的模式，或许只是过渡阶段。加密系统那些“对人类不友好”的特性可能并非缺陷，而是用户尚未匹配，当 AI 成为主要参与者后加密的真正适配场景或将显现。

纳斯达克上市的以太坊财库公司 Sharplink 宣布其机构持股比例创历史新高，达到 46%，同时将进行品牌重塑并扩充领导团队。此外，该公司还披露 ETH 持仓达 867,798 枚（包括 587,232 枚原生 ETH、225,429 枚从 LsETH 赎回的 ETH 和 55,137 枚从 WeETH 赎回的 ETH），自 2025 年 6 月以来已产生 13,615 枚 ETH 的质押奖励并全部分配给股东。（Globenewswire）

Hong Kong's Deputy Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury, Chan Ho-lim, highlighted the impact of geopolitical uncertainties on the global environment over the past year. According to RTHK, despite these challenges, Hong Kong's asset market has shown improvement with continuous capital inflow, an increase in visitor numbers, stable local consumption, and strong performance in overall exports and fixed capital investment. The economy grew by 3.5% last year, marking the third consecutive year of expansion. Speaking at the Hong Kong Gold Exchange's Lunar New Year opening ceremony, Chan emphasized the government's efforts to diversify Hong Kong's international financial services. The government is actively promoting Hong Kong as an international gold trading center, aiming to attract gold storage, clearing, and settlement activities. This initiative is expected to boost investment in derivative products, storage, insurance, trade, and logistics sectors. The government has set a target to exceed 2,000 tons of gold storage within three years, establishing Hong Kong as a regional gold storage hub. Efforts are also underway to encourage gold merchants to build or expand refineries in Hong Kong. A memorandum of cooperation has been signed with the Shenzhen Local Financial Supervision Bureau to support Hong Kong gold merchants in refining gold in Shenzhen for export to Hong Kong for trading and settlement. Additionally, the government plans to enhance cooperation between the Shanghai and Hong Kong gold markets. The Hong Kong Gold Clearing System, fully owned by the government, aims to begin trial operations within this year. Chan stated that the government will continue to optimize policies, financial infrastructure, and technological innovation to attract more international capital and talent to Hong Kong. These efforts are intended to strengthen Hong Kong's role as a super connector and value-added hub, aligning with the national development strategy outlined in the 15th Five-Year Plan, and reinforcing Hong Kong's status as an international financial center.

According to data from SoSoValue, on February 19, Solana (SOL) spot ETFs experienced a total net inflow of $5.9436 million. According to ChainCatcher, the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) led the inflows with $5.4618 million, bringing its historical total net inflow to $691 million. The Fidelity Solana Fund ETF (FSOL) followed with a net inflow of $481,800, reaching a historical total of $160 million. As of the time of reporting, the total net asset value of SOL spot ETFs stands at $710 million, with a net asset ratio of 1.52% and cumulative historical net inflows amounting to $886 million.

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稳定币并未脱离既有金融体系运行，其市场结构、风险外溢与制度影响在很大程度上延续并放大了现行货币与支付体系的既有格局。

比特币和山寨币接下来的剧本只有两种: 要么比特币从126,000美元跌到60,000美元就是全部跌幅，要么随着股市崩盘, 比特币跟着继续暴跌。

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